Bitcoin's Multiple Descending Wedge Setups provoking Rally?
Macroeconomic backdrop::
With sentiment in markets rising slightly from peak fear, due to recession fear provoked significant pull backs in commodity prices. Providing a likely reprieve in expected rising inflation concerns. This might in turn, influence central bank interest rate decision makers, too slow the rate in which they hike rates. Although we can only speculate on their desired intensity to crush demand, growth and inflation. We can assume that some decision makers, will look for the right opportunity to ensure slowing growth rates globally do not over extend downwards. Likely pausing or slowing the tightening measure as inflation falls. This could provide the macro set up for a bear market rally to occur.
Bitcoin Long Trade::
In the short term we see a relatively small neutral wedge. The upside currently being tested at the time of this published idea. I believe that a breakout will occur to the upside, made viable by neutral to slightly rallying equity prices. The next significant resistance will be the bearish descending turquoise resistance line, that has been created from April and June significant rejections. This resistance line will be bolstered slightly by the falling 50 day moving average, which is lying close to this turquoise trend line.
Depending on the macro and equity set up at the time when/if BTC's price enters the orange circle area. Further progression to the upside or a strong rejection will occur. Although bear market sentiment might suggest the case for a rejection is more probable, a short squeeze could allow odd price action to occur.
This trade idea is enveloped in the larger descending orange wedge line. That might suggest a controlled further fall in this bear market. I believe that it will remain resistance if the global macro climate continuous to tighten, regardless of worries of over tightening and causing significant recessions.
Significant recessions might will naturally correlate with significant job losses. Further degrading global production levels and decreasing supply. It doesn't take a crystal ball or goats entrails, to forecast the enlarged social welfare programs that will arise to support the unfortunate of us that will lose our jobs, due to over vigorous tightening.
Best of Luck in your trading!
With sentiment in markets rising slightly from peak fear, due to recession fear provoked significant pull backs in commodity prices. Providing a likely reprieve in expected rising inflation concerns. This might in turn, influence central bank interest rate decision makers, too slow the rate in which they hike rates. Although we can only speculate on their desired intensity to crush demand, growth and inflation. We can assume that some decision makers, will look for the right opportunity to ensure slowing growth rates globally do not over extend downwards. Likely pausing or slowing the tightening measure as inflation falls. This could provide the macro set up for a bear market rally to occur.
Bitcoin Long Trade::
In the short term we see a relatively small neutral wedge. The upside currently being tested at the time of this published idea. I believe that a breakout will occur to the upside, made viable by neutral to slightly rallying equity prices. The next significant resistance will be the bearish descending turquoise resistance line, that has been created from April and June significant rejections. This resistance line will be bolstered slightly by the falling 50 day moving average, which is lying close to this turquoise trend line.
Depending on the macro and equity set up at the time when/if BTC's price enters the orange circle area. Further progression to the upside or a strong rejection will occur. Although bear market sentiment might suggest the case for a rejection is more probable, a short squeeze could allow odd price action to occur.
This trade idea is enveloped in the larger descending orange wedge line. That might suggest a controlled further fall in this bear market. I believe that it will remain resistance if the global macro climate continuous to tighten, regardless of worries of over tightening and causing significant recessions.
Significant recessions might will naturally correlate with significant job losses. Further degrading global production levels and decreasing supply. It doesn't take a crystal ball or goats entrails, to forecast the enlarged social welfare programs that will arise to support the unfortunate of us that will lose our jobs, due to over vigorous tightening.
Best of Luck in your trading!
