Yesterday’s FOMC meeting ended as widely anticipated, with no change to monetary policy. During the press conference, the FED’s chairman reiterated the central bank’s commitment to bringing inflation under control and outlined a strong economy and tight labor market. Jerome Powell also described inflation as being on a downward trajectory and explained the need to...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: After the Fed meeting , the pound, like most majors, strengthened its position and in the near future, this trend is likely to continue. Of course, surprises from the Bank of England today cannot be ruled out, so the focus on the British currency today is the greatest. It is unlikely that the regulator will suddenly lower...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: As we expected, the Fed nevertheless served as a catalyst for the start of a correction in the American currency . All long trades on the EURUSD currency pair are closed, but despite this, we continue to adhere to the buy priority. At the moment, we also have two scenarios in our arsenal, where scenario №1 assumes...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: Before the Fed meeting on gold, we activated scenario №1 , which we published at the beginning of the week. Here, the long-trade was executed from the level of 2150 . This support is a limit area for long-player, but no one has canceled its break down, and the likelihood of this saves. Just for this, we have scenario №2 ,...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The British currency , just like the euro , saves all the parameters of a long trade that we gave at the beginning of the week. The likely drawdown may be down to the level of 1.26000 , according to scenario №2 . However, scenario №1 is already active. It is preferable to consider the entry method "step-by-step", that...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The main event of the week will take place today, namely the Fed meeting and the decision on the interest rate. However, market participants will be most interested in the FOMC commentary and the press conference to find out the future prospects for US monetary policy. Regarding the EURUSD currency pair, we completely...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: Metals are still saved a strong buy priority in the long-term view, but also over a shorter distance, the buyer is likely to show their strength. Growth above 2200 is not being considered for gold . We are not changing our previous setup at the moment, that is, both scenarios are saved. At the moment, scenario №1 is...
The US Federal Reserve has kept interest rates steady at 5.25%-5.50% while continuing its balance sheet reduction as planned since May 2023. In contrast, the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) might announce a rate cut tomorrow. It's anticipated that Banxico could decrease its interest rate from 11.25% to 11%, potentially applying pressure on the Mexican peso. This...
Gold prices fell late in the North American session on Tuesday amid a strong US Dollar but despite falling US Treasury bond yields. Market participants await the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday, followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Meanwhile, XAU/USD prices are set to remain near $2,150 as traders remain...
The KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in...
The market's recent rally (indices are up 25% since November!) feels frustrating. It doesn't seem to reflect the economic realities we're facing. Inflation is cooling, but it's still above targets. The labor market is strong, which might seem good, but it could be unsustainable with high interest rates. We're seeing layoffs, which contradicts the market's...
Jerome Powell lied to say he raised rates due to "Inflation", this was a great cover however he clearly saw the USDJPY crisis coming like I saw from last year. (Inverted Charts) The DXY Rising + the USDJPY rising will unwind the carry trade that will sell off the majority of people holding US bonds via Japan. This will force the FED to initiate YCC...
The Japanese yen has taken a tumble on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.67, up 1.02%. The Bank of Japan hiked interest rates for the first time since 2007 at today’s meeting and also abolished the yield control curve to target interest rate at specific levels. There was a strong possibility that the BoJ might wait until April to...
Market Surprise? June Rate Cut Might Be Delayed After today’s BOJ and RBA interest rate decisions, eyes will turn to the Fed’s decision on Wednesday. Although the US central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged, it could change its outlook due to the upside surprise in the latest CPI and PPI reports. For now, the first cut is still seen happening in...
We have seen longs getting rekt for the whole week, now due to long/short risk trader are willing to drive price lower to 60k whic i another -10% move. Fed interest rate decision next week is already priced in and might only cause a 2 to 3% move in the market. The best way to trade this pullback is to set buy limit orders at 61K, 60k, 59k, 58k with a risk of 10%...
Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a remarkable surge since the speculation surrounding a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut emerged. Recently, BTC hit an all-time high, reflecting the fervor in the market. However, it's essential to note that assets witnessing substantial increases often require a pullback or correction. Analyzing the daily timeframe from...
GBPUSD H4 15 March 2024 Lack of market catalysts from the UK region coupled with US Dollar appreciation prompted a bearish momentum for the GBP/USD pair. Strong US inflation data and high PPI figures dimmed expectations for Fed easing policies, contrasting with the UK's economic rebound from recession, which pushed back expectations for a Bank of England rate...
Next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision possibly just got a lot more interesting. Last night we got PPI data. In February, the producer price index, a key gauge of wholesale inflation, surged by 0.6%, surpassing expectations by more than double. The big question now is whether traders will reassess their expectations for the timing of a Fed rate...