Key fundamental factors to watch for in the AUD/JPY currency pair: Australian economic data: The AUD is sensitive to data releases such as GDP growth, unemployment rate, and retail sales. Positive economic data releases tend to boost the AUD, while negative data releases tend to weigh on the currency. Japanese economic data: The JPY is sensitive to data releases...
Following the previous analysis, the Euro has activated Sell Short positions by reacting to the specified QM level and then decreased to the weekly demand area. Now, considering the engulfing of the Major SR line and the formation of the FTR area, there is a possibility of a trading range between this area and the weekly demand area. Due to the price being...
Hello everyone, I was curious today what the productivity of German labor is. It crashed hard in 2008 and hasn't been able to improve much ever since. Thanks to German politics, there is not enough investments being made that could increase workers productivity. It's been in a range for long - I wonder how much longer it will take until German productivity...
MACRO MONDAY 8 S&P500 / M2 Money Supply ( SP:SPX / $WMN2S) M2 is a broad measure of the US money supply that includes cash, checking deposits, and other types of deposits that are readily convertible to cash such as CDs. M2 is seen as a reliable metric for forecasting/predicting inflation and for this reason it can be used as leading economic indicator....
TLDR: I think the price increase we are seeing is not inflation, the economy is going from bad to worse and the FED's actions don't make any sense. At the peak of the great inflation of the 70s in USA while both long and short term interest rates were going up together with inflation, so was the aggregate credit. In fact loans to businesses were growing...
I think this chart is self-explanatory. Delinquency Rates have been falling to historic lows. The next move will be up. What impact will that have on the overall economy? What impact will that have on banks? What impact will it have to gov't deficits and public debt? What impact will it have on inflation? What impact will it have on the dollar? What impact will...
Measures how expensive or cheap housing is relative to wages. -Base 100 in 1975 -Volatility clean -In USD
Nasdaq has been driven by FOMO in 7 stocks. Based on social media MEME type silly pumping in AI, FED rate pause and better then "expected" (but not better) earnings. While I have no problem with a bull run, I do have a problem with the way bulls ran it. Meaning, moves that are designed to provoke emotions are rarely if ever trustworthy. From an economic stand...
If you wanted to know whether or not the market was on a bull run or not, all you had to do was look at the Dow Jones Transportation Average or even AMEX:RSP (which definitely does not fit the bull market, showing that overall the S&P 500 has barely broken 15% gain since October). More important though is the transportation average breaking off from the rally...
Fed Minutes at midnight on Thursday and Fed member's speech deliver a hawkish stance. This hawkish stance may be considering raising interest rates or tightening monetary policy with other tools this next half year to pressure the high inflation and cool down the inflation down to a target rate of 2%. This can lead to a stronger US dollar and higher yields on US...
With clear confluence pf both the Fibonacci Retracment & Extension tool. Clear support level & bullish order block @ support level.
This is research is to figure out where and when to look for the bottom of bitcoin. More importantly when to get out of it if we have a bull run. This may be something new to you, but macroeconomics is crucial here. And this I will try to explain it. The main hypothesis is that the cryptocurrency market has become highly institutionalized, the guys from Wall...
As USDJPY seems to be testing previous resistance level. I anticipate price to come back to support to do what y'all call a liquidity grab. For me it looks the best possible price for me to ge interested in entering the market.
US Tax Revenue has exploded by 43% since 2020 to almost $5 trillion annually. So far 2023 the US Gov't has collected $2.686 Trillion and still it has to borrow more to meet its obligations. While Real GDP has only risen 4.5%. #MMT gets it wrong again. More is never enough! The more we print the more we have to print with no real (inflation-adjusted) economic...
After examining the Weekly chart for the DXY, it appears to me that the dollar flow is likely to continue downward for some time. Today's Advance GDP q/q reading is expected to be 2.0%, following the disappointing last reading of 2.6%. Additionally, the US Unemployment Claims are anticipated to be higher, at around 247K. In my recent blog posts, I discuss the...
Investors are facing a busy week of economic data that includes the release of consumer price and producer price index data for March on Wednesday and Thursday (US time), respectively. The results of these reports will help determine whether or not the Fed will pause or end its rate-hiking campaign. While investors are leaning towards a continuation of the Fed's...
It all started on the morning of December 20, 2021. The "Up Tick Rule" was implemented for one day in the stock market. The Up Tick Rule is an application that reduces the declines caused by short selling in stocks and is implemented to limit selling pressure. The implementation method of this rule is that even though the capital market instrument subject to...
As we all know, the increase in foreign currency increases the general product prices extraordinarily, as it increases the input costs. The rise of the foreign exchange is a phenomenon that a country does not want. Every country aims to keep the exchange rate stable. But for some reason, Turkey came out of these countries. As can be seen from this chart, from...