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Economic Cycles

Cycles are long term fluctuating activities with 4 distinct periods: improvement, prosperity, recession, and depression. These periods may assume different names, but the basic concepts remains the same. In the improvement phase we turn from depression to prosperity. We typically see rising economic activities, increased production and investment and a rise in income and employment. In the prosperity phase we typically see rising interest rates, inflation, overall economic optimism, economic activity and high income.

In the recession phase we turn from prosperity to depression. We typically see falling demands, decline in income, low economic confidence and falling stock markets. In the depression phase we typically see a decline in consumption and demand, falling interest rates, deflation, economic pessimism and low income. Cycles can be used to find the best stocks to invest in, based on what kind of sectors and companies perform better in which period, e.g. cyclical stocks in the improvement phase and defensive stocks during the recession phase.
Path Path PRO LTCBTC, W,
LTCBTC: Autistic Pattern Recognition
1245 1 6
LTCBTC, W
Autistic Pattern Recognition

Do you remember when this exact same thing happened before? Bar pattern is LTCBTC weekly from BTC-e in 2013, chart is recent Bittrex price action. Immediately after this happened the first time, the new money-doublers (who make sure to tell all their friends about litecoin gainz) went to barely functioning Cryptsy and lost everything to Wolong trading a picture of ...

Ahmed-700 Ahmed-700 NAS100, W, Long ,
NAS100: NAS100 - Global turning zone and channel limits.
176 0 11
NAS100, W Long
NAS100 - Global turning zone and channel limits.

NAS100 - Global turning zone and channel limits.

Path Path PRO BTCUSD, W,
BTCUSD: Cursed chart (BTCUSD)
25670 46 158
BTCUSD, W
Cursed chart (BTCUSD)

I don't think it makes sense to use normal TA on Bitcoin because it cannot be compared to any asset... except itself, so I've overlayed the early 2013 bubble (daily candles) on the current run (weekly). We'll peak on CME futures and then an exchange CEO will get kidnapped or something. I don't know. Nobody does. Good luck. Still long as of my last linked trade:

FateTrader FateTrader BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: Longterm BTC next big wave up 2020
121 0 1
BTCUSD, W Long
Longterm BTC next big wave up 2020

If everything worked perfectly in cycles, it could be slow on BTC until 2020 with only small spikes in between now and then. This is just a cycle copy from what happened in 2013. But it's also likely that this cycle will be shorter in time as cryptos have picked up the pace in recent years.

MVedra MVedra PRO GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD Three reasons to sell or short
150 0 3
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD Three reasons to sell or short

a. 1.3850 to 1.40 marks a zone that was the floor for prices in 2016. b. Cycles of 60 Days has been a consistent predictor the past year, we are in the cycle peak zone. c. The RSI is at extremes and previously at this level (see Oct-16) GBPUSD pulled back 3%.

StippWian StippWian EURGBP, M,
EURGBP: Extremely Long Term EURGBP Chart!
129 4 2
EURGBP, M
Extremely Long Term EURGBP Chart!

Today i'm visiting my favorite Forex pair to look at and discuss a very long term Elliott Wave count that it appears to have formed. It appears as if in early 2008, a 5th wave completed as a high. From there the market has been clearly corrective, ultimately going sideways. A Zig-zag completed into mid 2015 and from there we have seen a sharp move to the upside. ...

evert.tracks evert.tracks XRPBTC, D,
XRPBTC: XRPBTC 22-Dec-2017 (Daily)
73 0 1
XRPBTC, D
XRPBTC 22-Dec-2017 (Daily)

Ripple XRPBTC has been rallying upward and hitting the next resistance zone, which is also visible on the weekly chart. IF today is closing as a pin bar, THEN this might be a sell opportunity Resistance: 8010 – 9010 µ Support: 5533 - 6921 µ

evert.tracks evert.tracks GBPUSD, D,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD 18-Dec-2017 Downward (Daily)
64 0 1
GBPUSD, D
GBPUSD 18-Dec-2017 Downward (Daily)

Resistance: 1.361 Support: 1.325 Major Support: 1.304 Week Trend: Up Day Trend: Down Next action: Limit Buy at 1.325 Stop : 1.320 Limit Sell at 1.315 Stop : 1.325

GoldenSquawk GoldenSquawk USDCAD, 240, Short ,
USDCAD: Simple Ideas Earn Profits
30 0 0
USDCAD, 240 Short
Simple Ideas Earn Profits

Watch how our High Probability Trading helps us hit targets consistently!

GoldenSquawk GoldenSquawk GBPEUR, 240, Long ,
GBPEUR: Simple Ideas Earn Profits
42 0 0
GBPEUR, 240 Long
Simple Ideas Earn Profits

Watch how our High Probability Trading helps us hit targets consistently!!

kfrivaldo kfrivaldo GBPUSD, W,
GBPUSD: Filling the gap
18 0 2
GBPUSD, W
Filling the gap

I already forgot this gap down since the last British referendum. Succeeding gap due to flash crash was filled immediately. However, this June 2016 gap was the longest gap I've seen (to my recollection) in FX market before it was filled.

ninnannoo ninnannoo BTCEUR, D, Long ,
BTCEUR: 19 Degrees Continuum
268 2 8
BTCEUR, D Long
19 Degrees Continuum

Purely coincidental trajectory line of 19 degree peaks, based on previous sharp rises of 77 degrees and dips of 19 degrees. Only based on two distinct S curves, if these S curves were to continue at the same rate and magnitude, you end up with a steady 19 degree increase into 2018 and beyond. It means the latest sharp rise may not have bucked this 19 degree trend, ...

BTCDJS1 BTCDJS1 PRO ETHUSD, 3D,
ETHUSD: ETHUSD possibly in a cycle
535 0 6
ETHUSD, 3D
ETHUSD possibly in a cycle

I once saw a cycle chart by @lowstrife (twitter) on BTC that seems to still be for the most part valid today even. I decided to play around with ETHUSD chart and found that ETH has rallied twice around 27 December. I made mine on the 3D chart. Each cycle is around 122 bars. If this is true it may be possible for ETH to dip one more time despite the bull flag at ...

millspeterde millspeterde EURUSD, 240, Long ,
EURUSD: FIBRE - NFP Tomorrow? Hmm
171 4 5
EURUSD, 240 Long
FIBRE - NFP Tomorrow? Hmm

Just a little trade that I want to see tomorrow - might take it will see what happens during NFP. Levels based on daily/H4 - just a test chart.

tigerpause tigerpause PRO BTCUSD, 15, Long ,
BTCUSD: BTCUSD on Bitfenix - LIFT-OFF!
59 0 2
BTCUSD, 15 Long
BTCUSD on Bitfenix - LIFT-OFF!

This chart says BUY to me. If I were short on BTCUSD at this price I'd be starting to sweat. A lot. Thoughts?

tigerpause tigerpause PRO BTCUSD, 15, Long ,
BTCUSD: Feels like the bulls might be back in town...
42 0 3
BTCUSD, 15 Long
Feels like the bulls might be back in town...

Obviously very early days but RSI on the 1m and 5m are climbing and hopefully the 5, 15, 30, etc should follow suit. If they do then we're back into the overall bull trend, hopefully for 4-5 days. Thoughts?

tigerpause tigerpause PRO BTCUSD, 120, Long ,
BTCUSD: I should have seen this lovely reload trade coming!
74 0 3
BTCUSD, 120 Long
I should have seen this lovely reload trade coming!

I should have been able to work out that one of the larger bulls needed some rest before pressing on (supported by a line of much larger bulls than itself stood right behind it). I'm learning...just really slowly! A really nice opportunity missed but at least I am starting to understand them as opportunity, i'm not panicking and most importantly i'm learning...a ...

Lyzerr Lyzerr AUDUSD, 15, Long ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD (Long)
63 0 1
AUDUSD, 15 Long
AUDUSD (Long)

Long opportunities for AUDUSD, need one confirmation when the price retraces (Will update if the trade is not valid) The technical analysis is reinforced with fundamental analysis, (Anticipation of a reversal of the commodity/commodity currencies bear market which was the longest since 1950)

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