Cycles are long term fluctuating activities with 4 distinct periods: improvement, prosperity, recession, and depression. These periods may assume different names, but the basic concepts remains the same. In the improvement phase we turn from depression to prosperity. We typically see rising economic activities, increased production and investment and a rise in income and employment. In the prosperity phase we typically see rising interest rates, inflation, overall economic optimism, economic activity and high income.
In the recession phase we turn from prosperity to depression. We typically see falling demands, decline in income, low economic confidence and falling stock markets. In the depression phase we typically see a decline in consumption and demand, falling interest rates, deflation, economic pessimism and low income. Cycles can be used to find the best stocks to invest in, based on what kind of sectors and companies perform better in which period, e.g. cyclical stocks in the improvement phase and defensive stocks during the recession phase.
What Halving means?
Halving is a term common among cryptocurrency miners – the process sees the reduction of mining rewards of cryptocurrencies slashed by 50%.
The halving is the event, the moment when the mining reward is divided by 2, is commonly called "halving". Other denominations are used: "reward drop", "reward halving", or simply "the halving" or "the...
Dear reader,
Market trends and cycles are a direct function of human psychology and the varied emotions during each phase. Bitcoin has been following the classical market cycle since its inception and there is no reason it won't follow it in the future.
Charles Dow was the first to make thorough effort to express the general trend of markets. Enjoy the analysis!
This is my personal opinion; my publications do not offer any investment advice and nothing in them should be construed as investment advice. Please do your research before investing. I do not accept any liability for any loss or damage which is incurred from you acting or not acting as a result of reading any of my publications. With the Viewing of the post you...
This is just the worst case scenario, don't take it too seriously. BTW it is still a possibility considering that stocks were in a bubble pumped artificially by the FED. We'll check at least 2 years from now.
Low 29th October
Establishes a 2 week cycle low
Next cycle low end of this week
Reversal established when index gapped above 7071 on 7/11
Double bottom (pullback) at 50% retracement off the reversal
31st October opening gap now filled
The combination of these factors signal a bullish rebound.
In this screen cast I explore the Halloween Effect -which is a seasonal pattern - going back to 2012.
My overall position is that from 2012, the Halloween Effect is more probable, However, it is not 100%.
Statistical studies have been tracking this effect based on data largely based on a far more data before 2012 (but including the time up to the the present)....
The and exit for this strategy was spot on at predicting the recent fall, we are now reaching close to the levels of the crash at the start of 2018. According to the cycle the market should reverse before breaking the previous low. Look at past charts of this cycle for more information.
This chart is speculation, based on previous Bitcoin 0.17% price cylces (high>high, low>low, high>low & low>high) - but mostly high>low and low>high. Notice the similar time frames on these cycles. I have included a couple of major resistance levels and FIB's for possible price reversals.
Hi, today i wanna discuss about cylic analysis.
this is long term projection for "position trader", coz opening position not only for month, but for years.
In this analysis we focus to 6 years cycle,
you can see that EURUSD perform a big 15 degree parallel channel up, still not break for 39 years, and still valid.
If we look cyclic lines, bearish take 6 years...
Short term, a month or more of downside or sideways action before a trend reversal come October.
Trend indicators shown here, ADX, MACD, and SAR, all showing that the trend is still bearish. Until i see a crossover on the weekly macd, or the ADX move above 20, then i believe we are going to see further downside before any change in the current bearish trend.
It just keeps on steadily increasing. Could this be the top performer of 2018? If you aren’t keeping an eye on this then I think you are missing out.
Stay strong on your entries, let price come to you and fill your buys, don’t chase it. There will always be another good entry.
I missed this as you can see, but I’m waiting patiently for another good entry...
Sometimes the healthiest thing you can do in Bitcoin is zoom out and take a look at the big picture. It's only then that you'll realise that a rather fundamental pattern has been repeating throughout 2018...
Following the hype at the end of 2017 and consequential bubble, January 6 marked the beginning of a huge drop removing more than 60% of BTC's value. The...
Nothing more than playing around with the monthly log and heikin ashi candles to show the trend better. Pure hopium speculation...
Until we see some green on this time frame my inner bear is still winning.
Both RSI and Stoch are still pointing down as well, which indicates to me that we aren't out of the current downtrend just yet, despite all the bulls on...
What a beautiful cycle on the stoch rsi, it's the kind of cycle that you wish you could turn back time and get involved with, consistent 15% + profits on each cycle. Will it continue, there is talk of an easy 1k sats by June. Worth keeping an eye on, and perhaps a good trade entry will be at the bottom of the 4 hr Stoch RSI cycle?
There's blood in the streets, and the smell of fear, we may even be witnessing capitulation.
But it never lasts that long. Unless this really is the end of crypto this time - we've all heard that one before.
This is just a rough little sketch on the zoomed out weekly (log scale), Apart from the Mt Gox prolonged bear market, with some big bear flags in that...
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