Cycles are long term fluctuating activities with 4 distinct periods: improvement, prosperity, recession, and depression. These periods may assume different names, but the basic concepts remains the same. In the improvement phase we turn from depression to prosperity. We typically see rising economic activities, increased production and investment and a rise in income and employment. In the prosperity phase we typically see rising interest rates, inflation, overall economic optimism, economic activity and high income.
In the recession phase we turn from prosperity to depression. We typically see falling demands, decline in income, low economic confidence and falling stock markets. In the depression phase we typically see a decline in consumption and demand, falling interest rates, deflation, economic pessimism and low income. Cycles can be used to find the best stocks to invest in, based on what kind of sectors and companies perform better in which period, e.g. cyclical stocks in the improvement phase and defensive stocks during the recession phase.
Hi, today i wanna discuss about cylic analysis.
this is long term projection for "position trader", coz opening position not only for month, but for years.
In this analysis we focus to 6 years cycle,
you can see that EURUSD perform a big 15 degree parallel channel up, still not break for 39 years, and still valid.
If we look cyclic lines, bearish take 6 years...
SUPPORT RESPECTED AGAIN AT - 0.67196..
HIGHER HIGHS AND HIGHER LOWS HAVE BEEN CREATE ON H4..
LETS SEE IF WE CAN HAVE A LONG TERM MOVE BACK UP TO OUR D1 RESISTANCE ZONE,
WHICH HAS BEEN RESPECTED SINCE DECEMBER - 0.69013..
ENTRY - 0.67558
SL - 30PIPS
GOOD LUCK!
First meaningful pop above middle BB in 2015 was a fakeout (into THAT shakeout). Interplay with the 3/6/12mo moving averages is potentially setting up to be strikingly similar. What if
This is my personal opinion; my publications do not offer any investment advice and nothing in them should be construed as investment advice. Please do your research before investing. I do not accept any liability for any loss or damage which is incurred from you acting or not acting as a result of reading any of my publications. With the Viewing of the post you...
This is just the worst case scenario, don't take it too seriously. BTW it is still a possibility considering that stocks were in a bubble pumped artificially by the FED. We'll check at least 2 years from now.
What Halving means?
Halving is a term common among cryptocurrency miners – the process sees the reduction of mining rewards of cryptocurrencies slashed by 50%.
The halving is the event, the moment when the mining reward is divided by 2, is commonly called "halving". Other denominations are used: "reward drop", "reward halving", or simply "the halving" or "the...
Dear reader,
Market trends and cycles are a direct function of human psychology and the varied emotions during each phase. Bitcoin has been following the classical market cycle since its inception and there is no reason it won't follow it in the future.
Charles Dow was the first to make thorough effort to express the general trend of markets. Enjoy the analysis!
Low 29th October
Establishes a 2 week cycle low
Next cycle low end of this week
Reversal established when index gapped above 7071 on 7/11
Double bottom (pullback) at 50% retracement off the reversal
31st October opening gap now filled
The combination of these factors signal a bullish rebound.
In this screen cast I explore the Halloween Effect -which is a seasonal pattern - going back to 2012.
My overall position is that from 2012, the Halloween Effect is more probable, However, it is not 100%.
Statistical studies have been tracking this effect based on data largely based on a far more data before 2012 (but including the time up to the the present)....
The and exit for this strategy was spot on at predicting the recent fall, we are now reaching close to the levels of the crash at the start of 2018. According to the cycle the market should reverse before breaking the previous low. Look at past charts of this cycle for more information.
This chart is speculation, based on previous Bitcoin 0.17% price cylces (high>high, low>low, high>low & low>high) - but mostly high>low and low>high. Notice the similar time frames on these cycles. I have included a couple of major resistance levels and FIB's for possible price reversals.
Short term, a month or more of downside or sideways action before a trend reversal come October.
Trend indicators shown here, ADX, MACD, and SAR, all showing that the trend is still bearish. Until i see a crossover on the weekly macd, or the ADX move above 20, then i believe we are going to see further downside before any change in the current bearish trend.
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