The U.S. Government Bonds 2 YR Yield (US02Y) is testing its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 31 2021. The 1W RSI is on the very same Lower Highs trend-line rejection that it was during the December 17 2018 1W MA50 test! Needless to say this shows that the price is on a critical point as when it broke in Dec 2018, a downtrend followed that...
Good afternoon and good evening traders! I'm sharing with you a recap of my trade for today, actually we caught the 1st up trend after breaking the support line with a quite high volume, then after having the highest volume of the day on the candle I put the 2nd arrow at we added another position to finish the trade on the market with 2 contracts and a respectful...
The US10Y reached the top of its Channel Up and is reversing on a Head and Shoulders formation. Top made very close to the 0.786 Fibonacci. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 3.575 (MA200 (1d) and Fibonacci 0.236). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is on a Rising Support. An additional indication of when to take profit. Please like, follow and...
Good afternoon Swiss investors, today I made an analysis on the Switzerlnd 10 Year Government Bonds Yield, it shows that it's too early to put your money on the market since we're waiting for it to cross the golden point to see whether you put your money on it or no. For any more analysis on a specific market don't hesitate to ask and I'll be answering with pleasure.
The TLT 20+ year bond ETF has, at this point, been bearish since August. Personally, I thought after the late December-early January push upwards that TLT would have made a new high before dropping for a while because yields were trading a lot lower than the Fed rate, but that move never transpired and the shares have instead been mucking around. I don't...
The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern ever since the October 21 2022 High and even though there might be a Diverging Channel Up (dashed lines) emerging, the current level makes a strong Resistance cluster. With the 1D RSI also rejected twice on its Higher Highs trend-line, we are turning bearish on the US10Y...
Recently the market's expectation for the Fed Funds Rate peaking around 5% and then coming down at the end of Q4 2023 changed, with the market now seeing rates going to 5.5%. Many investors/analysts are discussing bond yields heading to 6% and staying higher for longer. However, is that going to happen? What is sentiment telling us right now? What is data...
What is moving this week? Our weekly eyeball into the different markets. Interest rates likely to be breaking its all time high again, get ready for another volatile month ahead. Difference between yield and interest rate: Borrowers take reference from interest rates and lenders take reference on the yield. Interest rates and yield moves in tandem. Minimum...
The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern ever since the October 21 2022 High and even though there might be a Diverging Channel Up (dashed lines) emerging, the current levels and the fact that it has failed to break higher in the last five 1D candles, make it a strong Resistance cluster. With the 1D RSI also on...
In this video I talk about the bigger picture going back to 1150AD and how I have always anticipated this move up in rates. See down below all videos that are related to this idea. We are in a correction phase of Wave 2 in Bond Yields. This type of expansion means that they are preparing themselves for a recession even though they don't mention it. They...
2Y bond yields still melting up This leads me to believe that tomorrow is gonna be a pump and dump, nobody expecting a rate cut soon, and market still needs to price in a rate hike for July. The algos still have to make their money, so I expect a gap up then a sell off as bond traders price in a rate hike. Remember the inflation target is 2%, the expected...
Zoom out and in Oct US 10 Year yields hit a supply level from Dec 2018 which started that big rally, we rejected hard from that in Oct. Now heading into resistance on shorter timeframes that started the other two major equities bottoms. If this rejects here which I think it can that will keep the rally continuing.
There's still an inversion between 1 and 2 yr bonds, which means the market still has a rate cut priced in for next year. On top of that, it looks to me like we're headed over 5% this year, so even the 1 yr needs to go up. What's interesting is that the rate inversion started at the same time as the market rally, last Oct. I dunno if the market fixes some of...
Guess the auction didn't go well, lol. Market is pricing in more rate hikes, and Euros did a pump and dump on CPI numbers earlier. Note that this drop caused the market to drop and BTC lost support right after. BTW, Auction schedule: home.treasury.gov The market's trading entirely on inflation and bond yield news right now, better pay attention.
The US10Y is forming an interesting pattern that suggests a move higher is likely. I decided to compare the general trend movement to that of SPX. The green arrows represent my future base case. However, should the US10Y break to the upside of its current pattern now, the blue arrows represent that. The future picture is always fuzzy, but I’m estimating US10Y is...
Familiar pattern for the US10Y as with the support of the 4H MA200 it is repeating the mid December +13.50% rise. In perfect symmetry a new +13.50% rise tops on the Resistance provided by the first Lower High of the down leg, same as the November 13th Lower High. The 1D technicals have just come out of neutrality (RSI = 57.935, MACD = 0.009, ADX = 33.193) and an...
The US10Y is breaking above the first Falling Resistance after making a Double Bottom on the 1day MA200. Wait for the right level to sell this rally near the second Falling Resistance. Target the bottom of the Falling Wedge. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
The US10Y, a major driver for Gold, is trapped inside the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200, before tomorrow's Fed Rate Decision. This shows the market uncertainty surrounding this event as investors haven't yet chosen to pick sides. That keeps 4H neutral technically (RSI = 52.167, MACD = 0.014, ADX = 27.887) and we can only trade this with careful points that will be...