Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
2258 support held, but 2340 is now offering resistance. We have Buyers pushing the prices up for sure, see the GREEN UMVD started last week. We have gREEN Bars but TrapZOne is still RED>
Expired GLD Weekly outlook. 1st WK MAY 2024 > NEUTRAL 📊 CORRECT Closed Price: 216.62 Target Price: 214.14 | Strike Price: 211.50 APR30 24' Upper Range: 217.38 Lower Range: 210.90
It doesn't matter what short term paper contracts do, or taking profits - the East is importing gold and silver at a beguiling rate that won't allow for much shenanigans for the metals market. I was however surprised to see the price bounce exactly off the top of the box. I see silver going down to $24 area, shake out some hands, and rocket up past $30 after...
Introduction - This continues directly from NFP SWING 2315-2275 POST. Details - This is a sharper move down that carry more bearish implications for intermediate outcomes. Let's get this up first and continue from there. I am keeping this post public until I fix the tg link problem. For whatever reasons, it is not letting people join so, kind of a nightmare...
Introduction - This is the 3rd daily continuous gold forecast since the PRELIMINARY DRAFT and the first one posted for public audience on TradingView. This post will stay live for about 14 hours and cover MOST of the NFP reaction before I wrap it up and continue in the matching private post. Details - First, I went silent the last 24 hours because I unknowingly...
The chart posted is Low odds BUT must be looked at as the wave structure and the cycle s turn may 8th is nearing .I Am net long spy msft gld dia I have changed my positions and added this morning near the low in GLD I am also looking to buy BITCOIN I have target 56200 to 55900 but we may not get to it .
Introduction - I am setting up for 16-20 hours per day continuous gold forecasting. I MAY have the demand to start this now, I am not totally sure. I'll find out in a day or two. Let me be clear, if there was ever a time to trade gold, THIS IS OBVIOUSLY THAT TIME. Details - In chart above, this is a slightly modified route vs most recent route from DRAFT...
Introduction - This is closure for binary forecasting for the people who follow it. Consider this draft as clarification for these two months as it relates to the standing long term forecast in Rumors of a Pivot, Part 3: Details - These are two most likely routes to June FOMC. In theory, whatever ultimately happens should be simple variations of these two...
Spot Gold has fallen 5% since the Middle East conflicts have lessened at least transiently. Other fundamentals like the Chinese government and indeed its citizens as well as the central banks of several nations buying gold in high volumes support price from significantly falling from here. Supported by volume profile specifics as well as the Fibonacci...
Introduction - Bulls are setting up for a double bottom with a "V" reversal. This means the median will hold. This means 2500-ish on or before 05/23. This does not mean a straight line there though, because medium term 2-way vol is set to stay high all the way to June. Details - See previous drafts for how we got here. Warning - If you are new to this...
Introduction - So since the move to 2311-2314, I have to "play it by ear" because price is moving faster than my ability to map "an intermediate thesis" that is in sync with price action from here to August. In order to stay relevant and ahead of price action, let's talk less and do better. Details - Continuing from DRAFT 9-3, price chose yellow route to 2291...
Introduction - As anticipated overnight, bulls didn't put enough fight in at 2365 and ferocious bears took out the 43-year trend line. While it's not even obvious they are finished yet - because Binary Forecasting Service's trend engine still see 2323-27 as possible Monday targets before rebounding - I have strong conviction that gold is getting ready to nowhere...
Introduction - Bulls are holding 43-year trend line at 2360s while NASDAQ bears formed a soft ceiling at 2400 that should hold past through May 1st FOMC. The result has gold range bound, predominantly between 2367-2392 for the incoming nine trading days, after which gold should head for 2444 and higher. Details - Follow up to 9-1 DRAFT's failure to break out...
Don't think #GOLD is done by any means. HOWEVER....... Sold some positions around the date of bearish engulfing. As of today the precious metal is still @ that price level. We missed a lil more upside but it wasn't much oi the whole scheme of things. #SILVER shows same exact signs except the Bearish Engulfing. AMEX:GLD AMEX:SLV
Miners didn't accelerate to the upside like metals because they do better in lower interest rate environments, whereas metals do better for volatility events. You could buy ITM puts here on JNUG, NUGT, GDX or GDXJ and see a good return, or just wait for this to bottom in a couple of weeks and ride the lightning. THIS opportunity is one of the 2 that I see this...
Traders, It looks as if the dollar, vix, and precious metals/commodities will continue to trend up, stocks will continue to pull back. Bitcoin is tenuous. But it is possible that altcoins have reached their low, though that low may be retested soon. We'll discuss these subjects in this weekly update. Stew
Introduction - London, of all places, vigorously defended 2373 and destroyed scheming bears' setup for 2285 this morning. Is this a sign that miracles do happen? No, it simply means 2444 is next. This also means a slow side-ways-to-up to 25xx in mid-May before MAJOR CORRECTION ahead of 6/12 FOMC. As always, we trade one day at a time and will cross that bridge...
Introduction - Didn't your mother ever tell you not to play with your food? Bulls with upper hand near 2400s once again trapped by hubris. Believing themselves invincible post Powell speech allowing bears to hang around with the door to 2275 still wide open. Will they regret this indecisive decision? Only time and Binary Forecasting Service's trend engine will...