How often have you heard “90% of traders fail while only about 10% make consistent money”? Often, I am willing to bet. Whilst the exact ratio of traders who make money vs. those who lose money is obviously almost impossible to pinpoint, it probably is somewhere between 80/20 and 95/5. Have you ever thought to yourself “why is trading apparently so difficult that...
Hello Traders! This video speaks on how to structure and anticipate price action intraday. If you are a day trade would highly recommend using the sessions to help frame trades and prepare yourself for success. Happy Trading!
This is a strange and complex relationship. So let's delve right into it! In my previous study of Bitcoin and US10YU, I mentioned that the "Crypto-market is reacting to the global market and appears to be predicting the future of the stock market by moving their funds in and out of the big crypto." But this relationship is evolving! Now, let me explain: My...
Here I tried to show the movement of the day when Fed announces its unchanged Interest Rate decisions during the last 6 times. As you can see, the gold prices had been quite volatile during the last Fed decision on June the 16th and shed 1.45%. Since then, the yellow metal has not been able to overcome the loss and is in the downward trend. Please note that...
Refer to the chart.
Now here's a seasonal trend that is worth keeping note of at the beginning of each calendar year. In my opinion, this January reading is the most important seasonal indicator that exists across markets. The reasons are two-fold: 1) When net bullish readings (At least 2/3 Components are bullish signaling) occur, the probability that the remaining calendar year...
The team at TradingView is committed to building a platform that gives you the best charts, data, and visualizations for better decision making. Today, we're happy to show you two new data feeds that we've expanded for those who want to see the history of gold and silver. You can now chart over 100 years of price history for gold and silver. As two of the...
In this video idea, I discuss the idea of how to check for bias in recent events in an indicator by requiring that X of the last Y candles meet a certain condition. It is common to refer to recency bias as something that can skew your view on things based on recent events. In this case, I am referring to applying a bias to our indicator based on recent...
Central Bank Dealer Range - backtesting
In this video, we show you how to change your chart's timeframe with a few taps on your keyboard. While many of you are already familiar with this shortcut, we think it's worth highlighting here for those who haven't had a chance to try it. To get started, type any number on your keyboard and then press Enter. Your chart will adjust its timeframe to the number...
This is a supplemental chart to the following post: Part 3 - How to Protect - Cover the Position ngetf.com This article is a continuation of a series where I've been exploring options to improve upon the idea of shorting UGAZ. Rather than just short the ETF alone and protect against a move backward, I am looking for a way to cover the short position by taking...
This is a supplemental chart to the following post: Part 2 - How to Protect ngetf.com In the above post, I use the UGAZ chart to find the worst case scenario for shorting. In the first 371 days from Dec 21, 2017 to Jan 3, 2020, a short position will see the largest move UGAZ has ever made against a short position. In the next 371 days, the same UGAZ short...
This is a supplemental chart to the following post: Part 1 - The Dangers ngetf.com In this chart I've shown a short-and-hold with annual gains vs backward movements against potential short positions. I'm being quite conservative with the gains and as extreme as possible with the hazards of shorting UGAZ. The bulk of this idea is published in the blog.
US treasury yields and the S&P 500 have a positive correlation. The two usually move lockstep to a certain degree and when they diverge, they don't stay divergent for too long. This time, however, at the beginning of 2019, the divergence occurred and has continued for nearly 12 months now. The idea behind the correlation is that bond prices are typically...
Buying Hedge
I introduce two oscillators that show: Average (SMA or EMA) variance / standard deviation for the seasonality profile Projected variance / standard deviation 1 year into the future Average (SMA or EMA) performance for each day of the seasonality profile Projected performance for each day of the seasonality profile
I am pleased to introduce this new and powerful script. Listen along and find out why!