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Seasonality

Seasonality is a phenomenon where price undergoes similar and predictable changes around the same period within every calendar year. These changes can happen in a specific meteorological season, growing season, quarter, month, holiday period or off-peak period. Seasonality typically happens in the commodity market. For example, there is a seasonal trend in the demand for heating oil, pushing prices higher when demand increases and lower when demand decreases. There is a seasonal trend in the supply of soybeans (related to sowing, growing and harvesting), influencing price and producing patterns along the way.

Seasonality can also be found in other markets, such as stocks, indices and Forex and there are usually fundamental reasons behind it. Finding seasonal patterns and using them to predict a trend, to filter trade ideas or to identify a tradable opportunity can give a trader an edge. Please note that individual years can vary and that seasonality itself can be subject to change. Whether it is used alone or in combination with other techniques, seasonality is a useful tool in a technical trader's toolbox.
bmck1 bmck1 PRO USDCHF, 60, Short ,
USDCHF: Potential Swissy Short opportunity - H1
39 0 3
USDCHF, 60 Short
Potential Swissy Short opportunity - H1

Looking for a potential move up into the 0.9670-0.9680 area in order to possibly get short this pair should my entry conditions be met in this zone. The USD continues to weaken as we see this continued risk off sentiment from the equity markets. USDCHF, USDJPY, XAUUSD could all be in for further extensions in the short term. We'll have to wait and see what the ...

THESTOPHUNTER THESTOPHUNTER PRO RB1!, D, Long ,
RB1!: RBoB Gasoline
23 0 2
RB1!, D Long
RBoB Gasoline

Been stuck and bouncing in a tightening 'wedge' range - can it break out to align with stronger seasonals?

DariusAnucauskas DariusAnucauskas NTGUSD, W, Short ,
NTGUSD: Natural Gas, Weekly, Potential SHORT
21 0 1
NTGUSD, W Short
Natural Gas, Weekly, Potential SHORT

Ok... This one is interesting. Your typical text books formation. But, the Right Shoulder has not been confirmed yet, so it might not form it in the end. Be careful. If it will close above around 3.30, then it won't be H-a-S. But if it will want to push lower, then I would be really happy to see it go to 2.80, 2.60 and we're very lucky, 2! But this just an ...

TolaTrader TolaTrader PL1!, D, Long ,
PL1!: Patinum +10% on seasonal gain?
10 0 1
PL1!, D Long
Patinum +10% on seasonal gain?

For Platinum, the seasonal gain is quite clear. I'm very hapy to see positive price action at this time, making it a good edge on this trade.

AntMwah AntMwah PRO OJ1!, D, Short ,
OJ1!: OJ - head and shoulders
13 0 1
OJ1!, D Short
OJ - head and shoulders

H&S top. The price is now right on the neckline of the pattern (185). Any lower and it will break and this gives a short move down to around 140. A nice big trade. OJ highs historically don't last long, and seasonality supports a drop in Jan too.

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