jolicoeur342

XAUUSD - LONG IDEA - 30 MIN TIMEFRAME

Long
jolicoeur342 Updated   
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Here is a shorter timeframe view on GOLD.

A few days ago I posted an analysis on GOLD but on bigger timeframe to let you see the overall market of the market from my point of view. I believe the market ended it's correction at 1764 to begin a Wave 1 which have been a leading diagonal. From the 1959 high, the market began a corrective ZIGZAG pattern with a FLAT as Wave B and finished that correction at 1785.

From there, I believe the market began another Wave 1 (on smaller timeframe) and began a Wave 2 from the 1855$ high it made a few days ago.

The corrective pattern of Wave 2 is a COMPLEX one. It's seems to be a double zigzag correction.

Wave W: Built of a Wave A followed by a Flat as Wave B and then an expanding diagonal as Wave C.

Then Wave X occurred as a triangle, which is amazing because a triangle always happens prior to the final combination, so it means that it cannot be a triple corrective pattern.

Then Wave Y happened. Another zigzag that been very volatile and we just reached the bottom at 1786$.

My target remain 1959 (As shown on the previous analysis posted a few days ago), but to be honest with you, I believe that if the market doesnt't go below 1785$, we should be aiming above 2000$ and we might never see the gold at the current level for a while!

Again if gold breaks under 1785$ the uptrend is still valid, but the current shorter term view won't be.

If gold breaks under 1764, a 3rd corrective pattern would occur, but with Wave 1 being a Leading Diagonal, it wouldn't make sense.

Trade carefully, risk management is the key.

*For those interested, I did attach the longer timeframe gold analysis to this analysis*
Order cancelled:
So shorter term idea invalid but the longer timeframe trade is still on.

Invalidation point is 1764.

I won't be updating this idea anymore. Refer to the other one for more info.
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