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XAUUSD: An In-depth Dissection of Recent Price 22/03/2024

Long
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Market Review and Outlook
Gold prices have shown significant volatility following the FOMC meeting, with a successful base formation around $2,152 leading to a subsequent uptrend. This move aligns with previous analyses that projected a potential push to historic highs, with gold reaching an apex of $2,223 in Asian trading sessions - a level anticipated as a possible upper bound in earlier projections. Subsequent market action, however, has demonstrated ambivalence towards these new peaks, with gold encountering resistance along the upper trend line at $2,211 and retracting by $45 within the same trading day to a depth of $2,166.

Technical Analysis
Technically, the current price action signals a bullish stance, with investors advised to consider entries around the $2,176-$2,166 range. Furthermore, the $2,152-$2,141 zone may serve as a reference for stop-loss placements. Post-breakout, gold may enter a broad consolidation phase, with the RSI indicator retracting near 57 suggesting a potential short-term upward oscillation.

Market Sentiment and Logic
The latest dynamics in the gold market emerged against the backdrop of a continued dovish stance from the Fed. Despite earlier price consolidation within a descending triangle formation, the Fed's dovish tilt provided impetus for an upward thrust in gold prices, culminating in a historic test above the $2,200 mark. While there were attempts by the bulls to sustain prices above this psychological threshold, the influx of supply and profit-taking forces precipitated a pullback. The key question now revolves around whether there will be further profit-taking or if bulls will establish a higher low.

Event-Driven Analysis
An additional market narrative involves the largest gold nugget ever found in England - Hiro's Nugget. This serves as a reminder that despite notable price fluctuations in the markets, gold's value as a tangible asset continues to be recognized. The discovery and its expected high auction price may indirectly influence gold prices, especially in the realms of collectibles and physical investment.
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