LanceGo

Break out or fake out???

FX_IDC:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Allot of people have been calling our current pattern as a clear indicator that gold will break out to the up side?However I don't think so. Iv never seen a break out look like this before.

With very strong markets, I highly duet we will see much of a break out to anything past 1224. Yellen's speech has had some impact but not a great impact. A strong S&P 500 and recovering dollar on the back of strong data to be realised today will spell a downtrend for gold.

I think we will be testing ..breaking and re testing the 1219 area for most of today. .1219 being a strong resistance area ! The general pattern I have identified is as follows : up by $5, down by $6-$8 side ways trade,Up 8 dollars down $10-$15.

By day end trading assuming data is strong today on the back of a recovering economic condition's and increasing strength of data,tronger dollar and strong S&P 500...I would expect to close today around 1205 or bellow .

Should the data coming out today be week...we could see testing and or breaking of 1229.30
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.