Viktor_strifor_analyst

Strifor || GOLD-Mid-term view

Long
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Metals continue to be among the top gainers, with gold trading at all-time highs. Such aggressive growth was caused by market participants who like to “catch the maximum”, i.e. find that very “filigree” point for a downward turn (in this case). Firstly, these are retail traders, but also various funds have begun to gain short-term and medium-term shorts, arguing that gold is heavily overbought. This, in turn, allowed larger participants to buy back these sales, and, as a result, a new historical maximum for the metal was recorded.

Today, gold maintains its bullish potential, although there may be a slight drawdown in the short term. A price rollback towards the levels of 2120 and 2100 is unlikely. It is important to consider two scenarios in terms of long-deals. Both scenarios are presented on the chart, where the scenario №1 assumes a maximum increase from current prices. Here we are clearly tied to the level of 2150, from which the price has already bounced several times, which tells us that there is a limit buyer. However, no one ruled out breaking this level and trying to extend the fall below. This is where the scenario №2, designed to create a false downward movement, comes in handy. After the price closes again above the 2150 level, we can expect the same growth as in the scenario №1. The growth target is currently pegged at the levels of 2200 and 2220.


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