salvanost

remember the 2065 or 2075 as next bullish spike target

salvanost Updated   
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
this is part of risk management
and self-reminder
1. as long above 1933 I will see 2300$ as long-term target
2. I do not know how low the bearish trend will continue but 1h shows a very good resistance around 2065 and 2075

I will show the reason later

REMEMBER THIS IS MY OWN THEORY,
but I backtest it, with a screenshot
Comment:
macd can be used as divergence
1. to become bullish continuation (to 2120) there should not forming any bearish divergence, or it will making lower low later (usually not because MACD above midline)
2. therefore any midline previous MACD lower high must be taken to invalidate bearish divergence


Comment:
backtest 1
Comment:
backtest 2
Comment:
backtest 3
Comment:
backtest 4 (see the pattern?)
Comment:
backtest 5 (there always mini bullish divergence )
Comment:
invalid 1
Comment:
almost invalid 2
Comment:
almost invalid 3
Comment:
invalid 4 (not reach the target but near it)
Comment:
anomaly 1
Comment:
bonus 1947
Comment:
Hit 2062
Should hit 2065 later
Comment:
this is good theory, and I still use it, and improve it as target locater (to see target by using MACD)
but it wont work in current situation where it keep making higher high (I think)

but this will be my homework for now, I will try to see is this can be used as a signal that a higher high will come
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.