Khan_YIK

XAU/USD 04 April 2024 Intraday Analysis

OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.

Price has printed further highs since yesterday's highs (03-04/2024) where we continue to trade within a fractal high and internal low.

Further new high has meant location of ChoCH has been brought closer to current price.

As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new highs and still remains the case.

Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent approach would be to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.

H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price has printed a further bullish iBOS where it continues to print all time highs.

Price is now contained within bullish internal structure after confirmation of bearish ChoCH.

First structural sign, but not confirmation, that pullback has initiated is a bearish CHoCH, which price has printed.

It would be useful to note previous iBOS and bearish CHoCH which eventually lead to a further bullish iBOS as opposed to pullback initiation. This is primarily why the CHoCH should not be used as confirmation, rather weak indication.

Yesterday's intraday expectation was met.

Intraday expectation would be for price to pull back following bullish iBOS, react at either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the internal structure before price targets weak internal high.

Another likely scenario, and due to the fact that all HTF's need to pull back, is price prints a bearish iBOS on M15 which would mean first structural indication (CHoCH) on H4 that pullback is about to initiate.

M15 Chart:
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