Despite Iran's unprecedented attack on Israel over the weekend, crude futures were barely affected Monday. Traders attributed the flat move to expectations that the conflict would be contained. In the short term, Israel's potential response to an Iranian attack is highly uncertain and could determine the extent of the threat to the latter's oil supply. Iran's crude oil production has risen more than 20 per cent in the past two years to 3.4 million barrels a day, or about 3.3 per cent of global supply. Therefore, if the market believes there is a higher probability of a reduction in Iranian crude oil supply, then this could lead to an increase in geopolitical risk premiums.
In the medium term, the fundamental impact of geopolitical developments on oil prices ultimately depends on their impact on oil supply, oil demand and oil inventories, including Opec + 's output policy response. Due to Opec + 's high spare capacity, Goldman Sachs continues to believe that geopolitical impediments to Opec +' s ability and willingness to deploy spare capacity are the main risks to higher oil prices. In addition, any rise in oil prices due to rising geopolitical risks could be dampened by oil producers deciding to hedge price risk and sell their holdings early.
The escalation of the situation in Eastern Europe and the Middle East aggravated market concerns, combined with the Fed's expected delay in interest rate cuts, the impact of negative news such as lower oil demand in the United States, the overall high level of crude oil prices in the first half of April, maintaining a five-month price high near volatility. At present, there is still a great deal of uncertainty in the geopolitical situation, and nervousness continues to support the oil market, but the pressure of the strong dollar and U.S. inflation concerns will continue to dominate the high volatility of the oil market and oil prices continue to consolidate at a high level.
According to the daily line of WTI crude oil futures, international crude oil soared during the session on Friday due to concerns about supply disruptions caused by geopolitical tensions. WTI crude oil surged as much as 3 percent before hitting a new high of $8,767 a barrel, giving up all of the day's gains to close down 0.16 percent at $85.45 a barrel. The day line received a longer shadow line. From the four-hour line, crude oil continued to fall after opening slightly higher in the morning, and has now fallen below the previous strong support near 84.6; At present, the Bollinger belt three-track opening runs down, the three-track running down after the formation of KDJ dead fork, the MACD green energy column shrinkage, and the short-term trend is still weak.
Overall, although the situation in the Middle East escalated over the weekend, but the opening of crude oil on Monday was calm, and has fallen below the previous 84.6 strong support, the overall trend is weak, therefore, in the next few trading days tend to be bearish, intra-day operations can be considered in the 84.8-85.3 region layout short orders, below to 82.6-83 region.
In the medium term, the fundamental impact of geopolitical developments on oil prices ultimately depends on their impact on oil supply, oil demand and oil inventories, including Opec + 's output policy response. Due to Opec + 's high spare capacity, Goldman Sachs continues to believe that geopolitical impediments to Opec +' s ability and willingness to deploy spare capacity are the main risks to higher oil prices. In addition, any rise in oil prices due to rising geopolitical risks could be dampened by oil producers deciding to hedge price risk and sell their holdings early.
The escalation of the situation in Eastern Europe and the Middle East aggravated market concerns, combined with the Fed's expected delay in interest rate cuts, the impact of negative news such as lower oil demand in the United States, the overall high level of crude oil prices in the first half of April, maintaining a five-month price high near volatility. At present, there is still a great deal of uncertainty in the geopolitical situation, and nervousness continues to support the oil market, but the pressure of the strong dollar and U.S. inflation concerns will continue to dominate the high volatility of the oil market and oil prices continue to consolidate at a high level.
According to the daily line of WTI crude oil futures, international crude oil soared during the session on Friday due to concerns about supply disruptions caused by geopolitical tensions. WTI crude oil surged as much as 3 percent before hitting a new high of $8,767 a barrel, giving up all of the day's gains to close down 0.16 percent at $85.45 a barrel. The day line received a longer shadow line. From the four-hour line, crude oil continued to fall after opening slightly higher in the morning, and has now fallen below the previous strong support near 84.6; At present, the Bollinger belt three-track opening runs down, the three-track running down after the formation of KDJ dead fork, the MACD green energy column shrinkage, and the short-term trend is still weak.
Overall, although the situation in the Middle East escalated over the weekend, but the opening of crude oil on Monday was calm, and has fallen below the previous 84.6 strong support, the overall trend is weak, therefore, in the next few trading days tend to be bearish, intra-day operations can be considered in the 84.8-85.3 region layout short orders, below to 82.6-83 region.
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Trade active:
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Trade active:
In market fluctuations, about 70% of the time are volatile, and only about 30% of the time are unilateral surges or declines, so accumulating small wins into big wins is the magic weapon for long-term success. I always want to rush in with a full position to make a big move, but on the contrary, the profits may be lost due to failure to leave the market in time. After a wave of market conditions, winners gain joy and experience, while losers gain sorrow, losses, and lessons. Same market conditions, same time, different results. There are many market opportunities, it just depends on whether you can seize them. If you are still confused in the market and are afraid of rising prices and falling prices, you might as well try to contact me. No matter how much money you have, I will help you for free.
Trade active:
Every time I write an analysis, I hope that my friends can gain something. In this market, under the calm performance, there are actually turbulent waves. Many investment friends enter easily and are often covered with bruises. Every day, many friends find me and seek help. Help, but more importantly, after reading the analysis, you can quickly find the next article to continue reading. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning of this job is service. People are mutual and trust is the beginning of cooperation. No matter how much money you have, if you are trading If you are confused or confused on the road, please contact me.
Trade active:
Every time I write an analysis, I hope that my friends can gain something. In this market, under the calm performance, there are actually turbulent waves. Many investment friends enter easily and are often covered with bruises. Every day, many friends find me and seek help. Help, but more importantly, after reading the analysis, you can quickly find the next article to continue reading. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning of this job is service. People are mutual and trust is the beginning of cooperation. No matter how much money you have, if you are trading If you are confused or confused on the road, please contact me.
Trade active:
Many people don’t understand the purpose of my active trading. In fact, I also want to help more people get out of trouble. I have been in the industry for fifteen years and have seen too many people fall into troughs due to the ups and downs of the market. I am very I want to be able to contribute to everyone. If you are feeling distressed because your account is losing money or your account is locked, you can contact me. No matter how much money you have, you can get my help!
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I'm very lucky that you clicked into this post. Don't rush to read the analysis, let alone the suggestions! No matter how correct I am in looking at the trend, and no matter how accurate I am in looking at the points, if I don’t do well, it will be in vain. There are market opportunities every day. If you have problems with your ideas, concepts and techniques during the operation, and you can’t grasp the points well, you will stop. If you don’t take losses, carry orders at will, and have poor position management, then no matter how good the market is, it will be meaningless. The big waves wash away the sand, and what sinks is gold. Xu Xin is willing to move forward with you! To borrow a word from the Eastern Sakyamuni: "It takes an instant to reach out, but it takes many years to hold hands. No matter who you meet, he is the person who should appear in your life, and it is no accident." Every time I write an article, I also hope to meet someone who is destined to do it. Whether your account is currently at a loss, or your account is stuck, or you are a new trader, no matter how much money you have, I can help you.
Trade active:
I'm very lucky that you clicked into this post. Don't rush to read the analysis, let alone the suggestions! No matter how correct I am in looking at the trend, and no matter how accurate I am in looking at the points, if I don’t do well, it will be in vain. There are market opportunities every day. If you have problems with your ideas, concepts and techniques during the operation, and you can’t grasp the points well, you will stop. If you don’t take losses, carry orders at will, and have poor position management, then no matter how good the market is, it will be meaningless. The big waves wash away the sand, and what sinks is gold. Xu Xin is willing to move forward with you! To borrow a word from the Eastern Sakyamuni: "It takes an instant to reach out, but it takes many years to hold hands. No matter who you meet, he is the person who should appear in your life, and it is no accident." Every time I write an article, I also hope to meet someone who is destined to do it. Whether your account is currently at a loss, or your account is stuck, or you are a new trader, no matter how much money you have, I can help you.
Trade active:
Many people don’t understand the purpose of my active trading. In fact, I also want to help more people get out of trouble. I have been in the industry for fifteen years and have seen too many people fall into troughs due to the ups and downs of the market. I am very I want to be able to contribute to everyone. If you are feeling distressed because your account is losing money or your account is locked, you can contact me. No matter how much money you have, you can get my help!
Trade active:
Many people don’t understand the purpose of my active trading. In fact, I also want to help more people get out of trouble. I have been in the industry for fifteen years and have seen too many people fall into troughs due to the ups and downs of the market. I am very I want to be able to contribute to everyone. If you are feeling distressed because your account is losing money or your account is locked, you can contact me. No matter how much money you have, you can get my help!
Trade active:
Every time I write an analysis, I hope that my friends can gain something. In this market, under the calm performance, there are actually turbulent waves. Many investment friends enter easily and are often covered with bruises. Every day, many friends find me and seek help. Help, but more importantly, after reading the analysis, you can quickly find the next article to continue reading. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning of this job is service. People are mutual and trust is the beginning of cooperation. No matter how much money you have, if you are trading If you are confused or confused on the road, please contact me.
Trade active:
Now the whole market is very chaotic, ups and downs are particularly large fluctuations, if your account is in a state of loss, you can try to pay attention to me, I will help you out of trouble, no matter how much money you have, you can get my help
Trade active:
Every time I write an analysis, I hope that my friends can gain something. In this market, under the calm performance, there are actually turbulent waves. Many investment friends enter easily and are often covered with bruises. Every day, many friends find me and seek help. Help, but more importantly, after reading the analysis, you can quickly find the next article to continue reading. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning of this job is service. People are mutual and trust is the beginning of cooperation. No matter how much money you have, if you are trading If you are confused or confused on the road, please contact me.
Trade active:
In market fluctuations, about 70% of the time are volatile, and only about 30% of the time are unilateral surges or declines, so accumulating small wins into big wins is the magic weapon for long-term success. I always want to rush in with a full position to make a big move, but on the contrary, the profits may be lost due to failure to leave the market in time. After a wave of market conditions, winners gain joy and experience, while losers gain sorrow, losses, and lessons. Same market conditions, same time, different results. There are many market opportunities, it just depends on whether you can seize them. If you are still confused in the market and are afraid of rising prices and falling prices, you might as well try to contact me. No matter how much money you have, I will help you for free.
Trade active:
Many people don’t understand the purpose of my active trading. In fact, I also want to help more people get out of trouble. I have been in the industry for fifteen years and have seen too many people fall into troughs due to the ups and downs of the market. I am very I want to be able to contribute to everyone. If you are feeling distressed because your account is losing money or your account is locked, you can contact me. No matter how much money you have, you can get my help!