jeanneymar011001

Trend comparison and setups for USOIL and USDCAD

jeanneymar011001 Updated   
TVC:USOIL   CFDs on WTI Crude Oil
Hi pros!

Let's begin with usoil that formed a giant rising wedge for approximately 10 years and price is now at the lowest point with a big bullish divergence on macd.
Normally if price respect the pattern we should buy from here because of the div but also because of the strong support based on the trendline of the wedge + structure

fundamentally oil price is at the lowest point since 18 years but a buy here isn't wise because of the coronavirus stopping flights and a lot of exportation and even quarantine for all the France, spain and italy (I guess Asians already are in quarantine and Americans won't last too much before applying those measures)

Now let's take a quick look on usdcad which is actually on a incontrolable rally. That candle in reaction due to the gap of oil on last week lead the price to the highest point since 5 years.

Conclusion: we could observe an interesting changement of trend on this forex pair and the oil market but before this price should make a first lower high first (to be more confident and not buying a falling knife). Normally that won't take too much because there is already a solution on the problem of corona : a French medic found a very cheap cure and very effective, USA found 80% of the molecula which will cure the virus, Israel almost finished a vaccine
Comment:
there will be a small problem on the resolution of this virus as European countries took different decisions.

France, spain and Italy closed the borders and isolate every citizen (confinment in their home and no possibility to go outside except with an authorisation of the gov, or for buying food)

And netherlands and England, took the decision to "assimilate" the virus to the people : to let infect between 50 to 70% of the people for the virus to become weak
Comment:
so as you can see England and netherlands are now the problem to end with this virus lol
Comment:
don't have an idea about what did portugal, germany, switzerland and Belgium but i'm thinking about a confinment
Comment:
same for all the other countries don't have an idea but thinking about a global quarantine
Comment:
Trade active:
Comment:
Rocket 1:5

about to hit target 2

Comment:
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.