The rand has now given back almost half of its October gains following the ill received CPI figures and SARB interest rate decision. The rand slide roughly 2.5% last week which saw the USD/ZAR pair touch a high of 18.96. Luckily the rand managed to keep the pair below the critical 50-day MA rate of 18.82, but a break above this rate could see the rand slide further towards 19.20 as we enter the month of ki Dezemba. It is difficult to gauge the rand’s moves but the rise in investor risk-on sentiment and eased liquidity conditions in fundamentally rand positive. The breakout of the downward channel and the break above the 200-day MA is however technically rand-negative.