ForexBriefcase

US Dollar Index Macro View 16/12

Long
ForexBriefcase Updated   
FX:USDOLLAR   Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index
Past week, Producer Price Indexes came out better than expected, U.S. consumer prices unchanged and U.S. Retail Sales previous data are revised upwards. Leading to a stronger US Dollars. Upcoming FOMC Economic Projections, Statement, interest rates and Press Conference 30 mins after data release. The Federal Reserve, is highly likely to hike interest rates for the fourth time this year, but how many more hikes will come in 2019?

The US Dollar Index chart last week range between 12330 & 12260 levels. Where the views still remain as unchanged from last week. The long-term constructive for bull, till price stay below 12200 levels going forward. Looking into medium-term where the US Dollar Index could continue its way towards 12330 levels progresses. The short-term suggesting sideways might be seen for upcoming week till prices break strongly above 12260 to constructive for bull or bounce down to 12260 levels to retest support. Overall, the medium-term bull structure prevails until prices stays below 12100 levels.

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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained in this content is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ForexBriefcase will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Comment:
Dec FOMC breaks down
- Interest rate increase from 2.25% to 2.50%
- 2 rate hike in 2019 instead of 3 (Dot plot)
- 2019 GDP & inflation forecast revises down
- Rate hike decision was unanimous
- Statement changes from "expects further gradual increases" to 'judges some further gradual increases'
- Financial market tightened but fundamentally has not altered developments
- Policy can be neutral and doesn’t needs to be accommodative

Disclaimer:
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained in this content is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ForexBriefcase will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

Disclaimer

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