Hassan_fx

US30/USD Imminent Shorts down towards 36600.0

Short
OANDA:US30USD   US Wall St 30
My bias for this weeks forecast is for US30 to see a temporary bearish move to the downside. As price has now slowed down, it shows that bullish pressure has now become exhausted. To add, we can see there was a clean 4hr supply which has triggered this initial bearish move.

Having observed the expected retracement and correction back up to 37500.0, I now anticipate a price decline in my POI. This expectation is based on the objective to fill in imbalances below and sweep liquidity, including the previously established equal lows. Given the current holiday season, I also anticipate price movements to be slow and choppy.

Confluences for US30 sells are as follows:

- Tapped into a 4hr supply zone that has caused CHOCH to the down side.

- Wyckoff distribution has been formed and validated via a CHOCH on the 15min.

- Imbalance left below as well as liquidity to target such as the relative equal lows.

- No reversal magnets above my POI which makes my setup more favourable for sells.

- In order for price to keep going up it must come down to tap into some sort of demand level.

- Rejection candle within our zone on the higher time frame reinforces that bullish pressure has now become exhausted.

P.S. Even though my confluences are very strong for sells at the moment, we can't disregard a possible rally which breaks this 4hr supply zone. We have to remember that price overall is still bullish so we have to be cautious when trying to enter a counter trend trade like this.

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