Ox42

For an understanding of the future, look to the past?

FRED:UNRATE   Civilian Unemployment Rate
Soft landing?

πŸ“Š Analyzing the US economy through key indicators:

SP500 πŸ“‰: Historically drops before a recession.
Unemployment Rate πŸ“ˆ: Tends to spike during/after the onset of a recession.
ISM PMI 🚫: Values <50 often signal a contracting economy.
Yield Curve πŸ”„: Inversions have preceded past recessions.
While these correlations are strong, it's important to remember: Just because a recession was predicted in the past based on these, doesn't guarantee one now. Markets & economies evolve. Stay informed, not alarmed. See attached chart for insights!



Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.