evolve-quant

TSLA undervalued relative to Magnificent 7

Long
BATS:TSLA   Tesla

Support Case:
I've spotted a reverse head and shoulders indicating a reversal to the upside (bullish) up into the region of 212-206. Additionally there's a zone below the left shoulder at 178 down to 162 where Tesla has bounced from previously. So pretty good support from what I can see.

Bullish Breakout Potential:
I've drawn a symmetrical triangle from the most recent price action starting on February 16th, forming through today the 22nd of February. I'm targeting the 212-206 region for a price on TSLA for this bullish set up to reach. I've bought 255 Strike Calls on TSLA at $0.76 each, looking to sell them back at a higher price.

Let's see how this goes, and happy trading.

* Magnificent 7 comparative analysis. While the rest of them have been doing quite well for the most part, Tesla seems to be the laggard in the pack. While I do think the Magnificent 7 is an AI bubble, with actual results to come in the next 2-5 years from this tech, this seems to be an overinflated exuberance. While being cautious, I'm still playing TSLA for this reason.
Comment:
Continuing to hold position, waiting for upside move, target moved between 211 and 206. Likely will hold position through Thursday March 14th unless invalidated.
Comment:

Widened symmetrical triangle boundaries in accordance with updated market action.
Will continue to hold.
Comment:

Continuing to hold.
Comment:

Up about 8% on the position so far, continuing to hold.
Breakout in favor of the 206 to 212 region confirmed.
Comment:
Continuing to hold.
Trade active:
Not a rocket ship by any means, but will continue to hold as 198 seems like decent support.
Comment:

Should have seen this earlier, but a clear triple top in the pricing directly below the area I was targeting.
Now has to hold support and ideally bounce at 186.55 for this to have a chance, but really not looking great currently. Expiration is March 8th, so let's see what happens.
Most likely outcome is I exit at an acceptable loss.
Trade closed: stop reached:
Closed at an L.
Not my best trading by any means. Yikes. Honestly this might push through the 182.50 and keep down trending. Bullish case no long present.
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