CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2   Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC, $
Update BTC.D VS TOTAL2

You can view my first charts at the bottom.

I see a lot of BTC.D charts passing by here, but this is my opinion.

First things first, what are the indicators telling me:

TOTAL2:

We saw a beautiful rise and resistance on the 1 fib extension, eventually broke it and even broke the 1.618 a few days later.
Already tested back and this is now a good support zone.

MACD here is high and momentum still growing

BTC.D

In the Bitcoin dominance you can see a nice break to the downside and i think this is not the end of a falling BTC.D trend

Why:

The SMA's on the daily chart show a lot of downwards pressure, the MA20 has crossed the MA's 50 and 100 to the downside. Also, these last 2 are turning to the downside.
The last three days BTC.D went below the daily MA200 and this is a really important level. With the spike back up today as BTC rises to +40k we are touching (retesting) this level.

All round conclusion (2 options):

1 - If the BTC.D does not break back up the MA200 today we get a important construction named the kiss of death and the momentum of the dominance drop will increase hard. Altcoins will go up hard and the TOTAL2 will meet the 2.618 fib extension at 514B $ or even overshoot it to the 3.618 at 618b $.
2 - If the BTC.D does break overhead MA resistance (MA200 and MA20) we could see an altcoin bloodbath and see a retrace of the TOTAL2 cap to 340b $ at the 1 fib extension level.

This is not financial advice, just a way to spot early what will happen if you are invested in alts a lot.

Thx for reading

Here are the first charts:

TOTAL2: BTC.D:
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