Newcomb_Analytics

Eurostoxx 2022 Outlook - SX5E

TVC:SX5E   Euro Stoxx 50 Index
As our first post it is essential to publish our longer term trend channel work as it provides the larger backdrop to our more detailed and shorter term work that we will be publishing in due course.

Starting with the Eurostoxx 50 Index (SX5E) we saw a 19% rally in as many trading days off the March lows only to run into resistance and the 3 month downtrend simultaneously around the 4020 level. That led to some decent chop back down and sideways with 3825 acting like a magnet for over a week. A brief pop higher from there back up to the 3925 downtrend we suggested was a great place to book long profits and errr on the side of caution and since then we are down ~4%.

So what next? We have a point of interest for bids coming in around current levels at 3750 which could take us into yet another corner between here and 3925 where we would switch back to a heavily hedged stance. Failure to do so will likely result in a revisit of the Covid uptrend which currently sits around 3500.

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