carvil_

SPY consolidating between fib levels, but bearish

Short
AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST
As you can see, SPY has been consolidating between 0.5 and 0.618 fib levels since mid-April. However, there are some bearish signs to be aware of:

  • this week we broke the uptrend (yellow line) that has been going since the beginning of April
  • we can see a double top pattern around the fib 0.618 level, which is extremely bearish and signals a reversal
  • we broke the RSI trendline as well
  • there's a MACD crossover which signals a change in direction (yellow box)

I think the trend reversal is a given and a matter of time. Are we revisiting the March lows? It's very hard to say. I'm keeping my eye on that blue line (trendline since 2016) as a potential buying opportunity, should it hold.

All that said, bears have been lacking the power to reverse this for a while. One great example is what happened on the 14th of May. There's a lot of manipulation too, with carefully orchestrated press conferences and interviews to prop up the market.

Stay focused, stay safe. Have a great weekend folks.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.