StevenWalgenbach

Technicals Flag Bearish as SOL Gets Rejected by Resistance

Short
BINANCE:SOLUSDT   SOL / TetherUS
In the latest trading activity, the Solana price made a noteworthy attempt to breach the $155 resistance level. However, it encountered firm resistance, resulting in two distinct rejections from this critical threshold. Such a pattern, known as a double-tap rejection at resistance, often signals bearish sentiment, hinting at a potential downturn. Following these unsuccessful attempts to rally, SOL has retraced to find support at $148.98. This level now serves as a pivotal point for the asset; a breach below could precipitate a decline towards the $136.10 support level within the ensuing 48 hours. If the selling pressure persists beyond this point, SOL could see its value diminish further, possibly reaching down to $124.21. This scenario hinges on the ability of the bulls to mount a defense and prevent further losses.

Conversely, should Solana manage to secure a 4-hour candle close above the $155 resistance within the next day, it could invalidate the bearish outlook. Such a development would not only signal strength but also potentially lay the groundwork for continued upward momentum in the days that follow.

Technical Analysis and Market Sentiment

The bearish sentiment is further corroborated by technical indicators on the 4-hour chart, notably the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The MACD is teetering on the edge of a bearish crossover, with the MACD line poised to move below the signal line. This event could indicate the beginning of a short-term bearish phase for Solana. Additionally, the RSI showcases a diminishing strength of buyers relative to sellers, as it veers towards its Simple Moving Average (SMA) line. A crossover here is often interpreted as a bearish signal, suggesting that sellers are gaining the upper hand.

Trading Strategies: Short and Long Entries and Exits

Given this analysis, traders might consider the following strategies:

Short Entry: Should SOL break below the current support level of $148.98, it could serve as an entry point for a short position, with an initial target at the next support level of $136.10. Extending the target to $124.21 may be viable if the downward momentum continues.
Short Exit: To manage risk, consider setting a stop-loss slightly above the $148.98 level or the entry point to minimize potential losses should the market direction reverse unexpectedly.
Long Entry: A bullish scenario would be confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above the $155 resistance level. Entering a long position following such a breakout could capitalize on the momentum, aiming for an initial profit target at higher resistance levels, potentially around the $165 mark, reflecting recent highs or significant psychological levels.
Long Exit: For long positions, setting a stop-loss below the entry point, possibly just under the $155 breakout level, would help protect against sudden downturns. Profit targets should be set according to individual risk tolerance and market analysis, possibly taking partial profits at predetermined levels while letting the remainder of the position ride with a trailing stop to maximize gains.

Traders should continuously monitor market conditions, as cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and can shift rapidly. Adjusting strategies in response to fresh technical or fundamental signals is crucial for successful trading.

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