tarbh

Silver on its way back up (cont.)

Long
CURRENCYCOM:SILVER   Silver
Silver’s larger overall Elliot impulse wave started in mid-March, and I believe we just completed wave 4’s correction. This overall trend is noted by the blue Elliot impulse wave in the chart. I took a guess and put the end of this impulse at $33.54. It just seems like the support and resistance levels line up well here when considering the chart dating back to mid-March, and so does the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level of more recent patterns. This is purely a guess though, I have no way of knowing where wave 5 will end up.

Within the overall pattern are smaller fractals of Elliot waves that I have labeled yellow for impulse waves and white for correction waves. I have June 15 as the date that the most recent 12345 Elliot impulse wave started and the Aug 6-7 peak as the top of wave 5. It looks like wave C of the correction just bottomed out, and the silver is climbing back upwards. This is between the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels of the overall chart (the blue line, dating back to mid-March). That means that right now is an excellent long-term time time to buy silver.

I do expect silver to continue to be bullish. The effect of scarcity in markets cannot be overstated. We know that central banks are very good at creating fiat currency out of thin air. We know that alchemists have thus far been unsuccessful in creating precious metals out of thin air. When we speak of the price of silver (or any other commodity) in terms of fiat (usually the US dollar) we are comparing an element to a fiat currency that is being created out of thin air at an ever increasing rate. And, if we think of price as a function of the relative scarcity of one thing to another, it’s hard to imagine how the relative value of the elemental metal won’t increase.

And what about demand? Silver is an essential part of solar panels and the electric circuitry of things like cell phones and other electronics. 5G? Electric cars? Solar powered homes? Smart homes? If you think those are going to be ever-increasing aspects of our daily lives, then you should have no doubt about silver’s outlook from a demand perspective.

And so, I do think that silver will continue to remain bullish relative to fiat. I do believe that the current price will be looked back on as a low, and a great opportunity to buy. And, yes, I do believe we will soon enter another bullish Elliot impulse wave. You’ll look back and brag about how you bought silver back in August 2020.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.