Blue_Line_Futures

Silver at An Inflection Point!

COMEX_DL:SI1!   Silver Futures
Silver is currently at an inflection point. The industrial/precious metal has held major support as of late, adding a layer of optimism to traders and investors alike. Moving forward, we will need to continue to hold this major support level to keep our optimism intact.

Headwinds:

This week will be an inflection point for the silver market. Not only are we hovering right above support, but the 50-day and 200-day EMAs have converged, adding a 'wall' of resistance that is imperative to break through.

Why is this week an inflection point? This week entails the release of many labor market data points, including JOLTs, ADP Nonfarm, NonFarm, The Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. The labor market has been extremely resilient despite economic growth concerns. If some of this data comes in weaker than expected, it is likely we would see a repricing of interest rate cut expectations, fueling the metal's momentum to the upside.

Chinese Economic Rebound?


China is the largest consumer of silver globally. A rebound in the Chinese economy will be imperative. The PBOC has already taken drastic monetary accommodation measures by cutting interest rates. If conditions can stabilize, this will be a bullish tailwind for Silver. Silver is currently holding above support despite weakness in China. This is very encouraging to see, leading us to believe that the worst of the Chinese economy is already priced in.

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Disclaimers:
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*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.

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