dchua1969

Using Pareto Principle to analyse stock

Short
dchua1969 Updated   
SGX:S85   STRACO
Read about this company business here

According to its annual report, 73% of its revenue is derived from the 3 attractions in China.

And it has closed down 3 of these attractions , read here.

So, using the 80/20 principle , if a company generates 80% (in this case is 73% to be exact) from 20% portfolio and there are no other streams of revenue coming in during this period, then this company is in trouble.

Rent is ongoing though there might be some concession from the Chinese Government. However, with the closure, it is like a sitting duck in the river , awaiting for short sellers to shoot it down.

From the chart, since reaching a peak at 1.115 in 2015, it has been registering lower high and lower low price movement, a bearish signal. An important support at 0.685 is broken recently on 2 Dec 19 and it is now sitting on the 2nd level of support at 0.57.

I know this is one of the favourite among many dividend investors as it generates a 6% dividend. But would this still holds in current circumstances ?

Nobody knows how long will they get to reopen their attractions and having missed the festive season - Chinese New Year , they had potentially lost tons of money from the closure.

I am of the opinion that this stock will still heads south , perhaps towards 0.445 or even lower in the forthcoming weeks and months.



Comment:
You can read more about this Company latest development :
www.theedgesingapore...re-flyer-coming-halt

Do keep this stock in your watch list as once the virus stabilised and reduce in number of new cases , this stock may not fly up immediately but would provide a good entry to scoop up cheap.
Comment:
maybe we will see a silver lining soon as Disney Shanghai has just announced it is opening part of its theme park for the public. Will Straco follows suit ?
Comment:
still down......
Comment:
10 months later, we may slowly see some light at the end of the tunnel.....

0.445 is a strong support as selling has eased.....

will do more research before initiating a long position
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