RIOT has made a V recovery once again, making the bear case almost obsolete. The primary and secondary trendline resistance has been successfully broken and right on the third trendline resistance at the moment. Let's look at bull and bear case and see when to enter the rocket to the moon.
Bull case:
If this is the beginnings of intermediate wave 3, then the current price action is at the start of Minute degree wave 1. We should see a higher high above December high and then a correction. The correction or Minute degree wave 2 cannot break below $8.61. After that we should see the strongest part of the rally which will be a wave 3 of 3 of 3. Ideally, after a higher low is confirmed, entry point would be above the previous higher high. We are looking at triple digit numbers, so it is OK to wait until we see a solid support above $19.
Bear case:
Bear case would still suggest intermediate wave 2 is still in effect. The correction just got a whole lot more complex. The current price action could be part of a B wave triangle where a C wave is still in the books, or it could be part of a larger Y wave that will take things down back to previous lows. At this point these two scenarios cannot be written off. Need to let some more time pass before the bear case can be completely thrown out.
We should see a correction of the current runup in the next week or two. How that plays out will confirm which way is right. Ideally, a higher low and higher high on weekly will provide confidence on bull side.
Bull case:
If this is the beginnings of intermediate wave 3, then the current price action is at the start of Minute degree wave 1. We should see a higher high above December high and then a correction. The correction or Minute degree wave 2 cannot break below $8.61. After that we should see the strongest part of the rally which will be a wave 3 of 3 of 3. Ideally, after a higher low is confirmed, entry point would be above the previous higher high. We are looking at triple digit numbers, so it is OK to wait until we see a solid support above $19.
Bear case:
Bear case would still suggest intermediate wave 2 is still in effect. The correction just got a whole lot more complex. The current price action could be part of a B wave triangle where a C wave is still in the books, or it could be part of a larger Y wave that will take things down back to previous lows. At this point these two scenarios cannot be written off. Need to let some more time pass before the bear case can be completely thrown out.
We should see a correction of the current runup in the next week or two. How that plays out will confirm which way is right. Ideally, a higher low and higher high on weekly will provide confidence on bull side.
