bill_blue_line

Every rally starts with a short cover

Long
NYMEX:PL1!   Platinum Futures
Platinum has been trending lower for more than four months, the March peak, and is finally showing signs of a potential bottom. Yesterday's whipsaw helped complete the right shoulder of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. Upon doing that, it also back-tested the trend line from its June peak, holding it as support perfectly. The large range consolidation over the last three days created a flag-like pattern, brining a coiling of strength to help pierce through the 21-day moving average this morning. The cherry on top is that Managed Money, hedge funds, have been net-short Platinum. This tells us that upon strength there will be short-covering. Not only in Platinum but SIlver and Gold too. In fact, Managed Money went net-short Gold as of last Tuesday for only the second instance in history. The first was at the exact 2015 low and the second was in the later innings of the 2018 sell-off. Managed Money going net-short metals is a contra indicator.

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