Tradersweekly

One luxury carmarker is down 20%, a buying opportunity?

Long
XETR:P911   PORSCHE AG VZ
Although founded in 1948, Porsche became a public company in late September 2022. Initially, the company started to float on the market with an opening price of €84. However, shares rose as high as €120.80 in the coming months. Yet despite these impressive gains since the IPO, shares of the company began to decline in May 2023, losing about 20% of their value through the summer.

In its recent financial report, Porsche AG Group revealed that its operating profit rose 10.7% YoY and sales revenue 14% YoY in the first six months of 2023. Meanwhile, cash and cash equivalents decreased by 52% (by €2.466 billion to €2.244 billion), and the deliveries went up by 14.7% YoY to 167,354 vehicles, with increases in all sales regions. Based on the report, the biggest demand was for models Macan and Cayenne, with 46,842 and 46,399 cars sold, respectively.

Going forward, the company cited supply chain challenges related to auto parts and their quality while noting that risks associated with gas shortages and the Russia-Ukraine conflict decreased. On top of that, the report states: “The explanations on the liquidity risks presented in the risk reporting section of the 2022 combined management report remain unchanged… The overall conclusion that, based on the information and assessments currently available, a development jeopardizing the group’s ability to continue as a going concern is sufficiently improbable in the fiscal year 2023, remains unchanged."

Based on these and other factors, we consider Porsche shares attractive below €100 (with ideal entry around €90 to €92) for the long term (talking about years). However, at the moment, we believe it would be proper to start only with incremental purchases and leave some capital aside for better opportunities.

Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish

Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.

DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Comment:
Shares of Porsche reached the ideal area for a long entry (for a long-term position). However, it would still be proper not to go all in at once and wait for the better price to manifest itself.
Comment:
After months of waiting, the P911 is reaching new attractive levels to get our hands on the stock (again, with the long-term plans to hold and do nothing with it).

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