the trendline going back to Feb 2023 has been broken decisively, retested and failed with conviction. Even though August low hasn't been taken out yet, there is a good chance that it will be. Right now a bounce seems more likely. Daily RSI has a pretty nice bullish divergence, but it is not a guarantee that the pullback is done. Next week, we will need to see if price get another retest up to $438 breakdown area or even back to the bottom of the broken trendline and fail from there.
From EW count perspective, the price breakdown, specially the trendline break has a greater probability of a higher degree correction. I changed the count and brought it down two degrees to have Aug high as intermediate degree wave 3 and now getting wave 4 correction. That pairs well with the wave 2 correction back in December. Intermediate wave 4 can get pretty ugly. The invalidation point is all the way down to $188. So this correction could be over or could mess around with investors for a while. Right now, there is a channel support and below that there is another trendline support. There are various fib support in between. So, for now, safety is priority. Long or short, need to be careful about sticking around for too long. Good news is, when this id over, there is a final blow off leg coming up with target between $700-$750.
From EW count perspective, the price breakdown, specially the trendline break has a greater probability of a higher degree correction. I changed the count and brought it down two degrees to have Aug high as intermediate degree wave 3 and now getting wave 4 correction. That pairs well with the wave 2 correction back in December. Intermediate wave 4 can get pretty ugly. The invalidation point is all the way down to $188. So this correction could be over or could mess around with investors for a while. Right now, there is a channel support and below that there is another trendline support. There are various fib support in between. So, for now, safety is priority. Long or short, need to be careful about sticking around for too long. Good news is, when this id over, there is a final blow off leg coming up with target between $700-$750.
