joyny

Stocks pairs trading: UAL vs LUV

BATS:LUV   Southwest Airlines Company
When evaluating the investment potential between United Airlines Holdings Inc. (UAL) and Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV), several critical factors come into play, guiding a strategic approach to buying UAL shares while considering the sale of LUV.

Reasons to Consider Buying UAL:

Attractive Valuation with Growth Potential: UAL's forward P/E of 3.74 presents a significantly lower valuation compared to LUV's 12.42. This disparity in valuation becomes even more compelling when considering UAL's robust expected EPS growth over the next 5 years at 42.79%. This suggests that UAL is not only undervalued relative to its growth prospects but also stands as a promising investment for those looking at long-term growth.

Market Recovery and Performance: UAL has shown a promising recovery trajectory, highlighted by a 5.85% increase year-to-date and a 4.59% increase over the past quarter. These metrics indicate a solid path to recovery, positioning UAL as an attractive option for investors betting on the airline industry's rebound.

Strong Financial Health Indicators: With a market cap of $14.33B and income of $2.62B, alongside a notable EPS next 5Y growth rate of 42.79%, UAL showcases a sturdy financial foundation. This points to its ability to not just weather industry turbulence but to emerge stronger and more profitable in the coming years.

Reasons to Consider Selling LUV:

Concerns Over High Valuation and Sustainability: Despite LUV's impressive expected EPS growth next year of 48.61%, its high forward P/E of 12.42 raises questions about valuation and growth sustainability. Investors might view LUV as overvalued, especially when juxtaposed against its recent market performance, including a -17.50% drop over the past month.

Short-Term vs. Long-Term Growth Perspectives: LUV's near-term growth prospects are undoubtedly strong. However, when considering long-term investment strategies, UAL's more attractive valuation and substantial five-year growth outlook offer a more compelling case. This suggests that while LUV may provide short-term gains, UAL presents a more favorable long-term growth trajectory at a better value.

Market Performance and Recovery Concerns: LUV's recent performance, including significant monthly declines, contrasts with UAL's recovery momentum. This discrepancy may signal underlying challenges for LUV, potentially making it a less attractive hold for investors focused on stability and sustained growth.

Decision:

Buy 1 UAL: Given its lower valuation, significant long-term growth prospects, and evidence of a strong recovery path, UAL emerges as a strategic buy. Its current market position and financial metrics suggest it is undervalued, offering a favorable opportunity for investors aiming for long-term capital growth within the airline sector.

Sell 2 LUV: Considering LUV's higher valuation and recent market challenges, coupled with sustainability concerns for its short-term growth, it may be prudent for investors to realize potential gains from LUV and reallocate investments towards more undervalued opportunities like UAL, which offers a better growth outlook and valuation proposition.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.