Pakistan is currently in discussions regarding the final tranche of the IMF loan and the potential acquisition of a new loan through the Extended Fund Facility (EFF). As the country wraps up the IMF review process, recent developments in inflation, reaching 23.06% year-on-year as of February 2024, have intensified discussions around key monetary policy decisions and the terms of the IMF deal.
Given the prevailing inflationary pressures, it's unlikely that the central bank will opt for a rate cut to address inflation until it's under control. The interest rate serves as a pivotal tool in managing the country's inflation dynamics. Looking ahead, expectations are set for a reduction in the CPI inflation rate to 20% by March 2024. This anticipated moderation could pave the way for a potential decrease in the monetary policy rate during the subsequent Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting slated for April 29, 2024.
Should inflation align with projections and the monetary policy rate sees a reduction in the upcoming meeting, it could indicate a positive sentiment in the Pakistan Stock Exchange market, charting a positive trajectory forward. 📊🚀
Given the prevailing inflationary pressures, it's unlikely that the central bank will opt for a rate cut to address inflation until it's under control. The interest rate serves as a pivotal tool in managing the country's inflation dynamics. Looking ahead, expectations are set for a reduction in the CPI inflation rate to 20% by March 2024. This anticipated moderation could pave the way for a potential decrease in the monetary policy rate during the subsequent Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting slated for April 29, 2024.
Should inflation align with projections and the monetary policy rate sees a reduction in the upcoming meeting, it could indicate a positive sentiment in the Pakistan Stock Exchange market, charting a positive trajectory forward. 📊🚀