Investing_Fellow

Intuitive Surgical: expensive and to exit consolidation

Short
NASDAQ:ISRG   Intuitive Surgical, Inc.
Intuitive Surgical produces robotic-assisted surgical systems. Currently, the company holds a significant market share in urology and gynecology areas. However, the business model is predicted to expand to other areas such as thoracic, colorectal, and other general soft tissue procedures.

From a technical point of view, the stock recovered the highs registered in April 2019, retracing on the last day of trading to the $581 level. However, the price was not able to overtake the $600 resistance that I consider essential in that case. The last session closed above the green Ichimoku Cloud; however, I see the price too close to the cloud support at $572.71.
An important signal comes from the Chikou Span (Lagging Span) of the Ichimoku Clouds. The "lagging span" is created by plotting closing prices 26 periods behind the latest closing price of an asset. Usually, when the price is above the line, it could be an indication of weakness (price too high). On the other hand, when the price is below the Chikou span, it could be an indication of strength (price too low). I highlighted in the graph the relationship between the Chikou Span and the current price. The last close perfectly matched the Lagging Span price.
Besides, I believe that the market overvalues the company. The stock is currently trading above its normal Price/EBITDA ratio of 32.75, at 50.13 (I used ten years of data). Probably the stock is too expensive.
My strategy is to wait until the green support of the green cloud (orange in the chart) is broken. To be sure of the beginning of a downtrend, however, wait until the red support of the green cloud is overtaken (purple in the chart).

Disclosure: My articles contain statements and projections based on assumptions on capital markets, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks and uncertainties.
Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion or consult a financial advisor. Investing includes risks, including loss of principal.
I am not a financial advisor.




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