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Stocks pairs trading: ON vs INTC

BATS:INTC   Intel Corporation
Analyzing the financial indicators and market positions of ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON) and Intel Corporation (INTC) offers insightful perspectives for investors.

Reasons to Consider Buying ON Over INTC:

Valuation and Earnings Outlook: ON's forward P/E ratio of 14.64, compared to INTC's higher forward P/E of 18.75, suggests that ON is more attractively valued at current levels, potentially offering a better investment opportunity. Furthermore, ON's EPS next year is anticipated to be $5.06, signifying a robust earnings growth potential that eclipses INTC's expected EPS next year of $2.24, underlining ON's superior profit growth prospects.

Market Recovery and Expansion Potential: ON demonstrates promising growth indicators, including a projected EPS growth next year of 19.14% and a five-year EPS growth rate of 4.61%. In contrast, despite INTC's optimistic five-year EPS growth forecast of 43.08%, its immediate earnings outlook and recent performance (EPS next Q of $0.15 for INTC vs. $1.04 for ON) indicate that ON may be better positioned to capitalize on market recovery and expansion opportunities in the near term.

Strategic Industry Standing: With a market capitalization of $31.65B and a diverse product range that caters to high-demand sectors like automotive and industrial, ON is strategically placed to leverage industry trends and growth drivers. Although INTC, with a market cap of $177.28B, is a giant in the semiconductor sector, its current restructuring and focus on regaining technological leadership suggest a period of transition that might not immediately translate to stock performance uplift.

Reasons to Consider Selling INTC:

Relative Valuation and Growth Concerns: INTC's higher forward P/E ratio and substantial payout ratio (184.54%) reflect a pricier valuation and potentially constrained future growth due to its dividend commitments. Additionally, its near-term earnings forecast and recent quarter-over-quarter EPS growth of 489.86% might not sustain without substantial top-line growth and margin improvement.

Market Sentiment and Performance Metrics: INTC's recent performance metrics, including a year-to-date decline of -16.56% and a quarter performance dip of -10.94%, contrast with ON's more stable performance outlook. This disparity, coupled with market sentiment that may favor faster-growing semiconductor plays, makes INTC a less attractive option for growth-oriented investors.

Sector Dynamics and Operational Challenges: While INTC is navigating through significant operational and market challenges to reclaim its leadership in technology innovation, ON's current focus and execution in fast-growing semiconductor segments position it as a more compelling growth story in the near term. INTC's broader operational challenges, including yield improvements and competitive pressures, may hinder its short-to-medium-term performance potential.

Decision:

Buy 1 ON: Given ON's more attractive valuation, stronger near-term earnings potential, and strategic positioning within growth segments of the semiconductor industry, it represents a compelling buy.

Sell 2 INTC: Despite INTC's efforts to redefine its market stance and innovation trajectory, its current valuation, coupled with near-term growth uncertainties, suggests that reallocating investment towards more immediate growth opportunities like ON could yield better returns.
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