Cincinnatuus

GOLD Look Ahead for week starting 11/24/19

Long
Cincinnatuus Updated   
TVC:GOLD   CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)
Gold is in a corrective pull back within a long-term Bull Market with price trading above the 50 week ema, which is above the 200 and 800 week emas. The 50 week ema is currently trending up, though price has closed below the 13 ema, signaling a pull back. Looks like a test of the 30 ema around 1440 is forth coming, and potentially a test of the 50 ema down at 1400. Elliott Wave analysis and Fibonacci retracement levels support this analysis.

The Commodity is in a correction of a long-term Bull Market with price trading below the 50 day ema, though the 50 is above the 200 and 800 day emas. The 50 day ema is currently down trending, though price is still channeling between down trend lines. Looks like a measured move is setting up for price to trade down to the 200 ema around 1420 over the next couple months which would typically be followed by a bounce back up to the 50 ema, followed by consolidation between the two.

The Commodity is in a Deep Correction of a Bull Market on the 4 hour, with price below the 50 ema, which is below the 200 ema, yet both are still above the 800 ema. Price should trade down to the 800 ema and then bounce back up to the 200 ema, pin balling between the two in a consolidation/corrective pattern. Looking at the trading picture, I would look for price to open up lower into next week, put in a bottom formation, and then make three pushes up to the 200 ema slightly above 1480.

This is my GOLD look ahead for my own trading purposes. COMMODITIES trading involves risk. Feel free to comment, but trade off of this post at your own peril.
Trade active:
Price never quite made it down to the 800 ema last week, though it traded down aggressively. Lots of stop hunts low, with a nice set of railroad tracks, followed by an aggressive move up. Looks like the bounce back up to the 4-hour 200 ema is in progress this week.
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