As I have spoke about before this is a blow off top, wave 5, and evening star formation. The price target is $17. Let me define a few things to put it in perspective.
1. Blow off top definition; Blow-off top patterns are common in securities where there is a lot of speculative interest. Prices rise, usually on positive news or on the prospect of good future news, such as future growth or the release of a positive drug trial, for example. As the price rises, more and more people get excited. More people also start to feel they are missing out, and they don't want to miss out anymore, so they buy. The higher the price goes, the number of people lured in to buy increases, and thus the higher the price and volume go. Blow-off top patterns are common in securities where there is a lot of speculative interest. Prices rise, usually on positive news or on the prospect of good future news, such as future growth or the release of a positive drug trial, for example. As the price rises, more and more people get excited. More people also start to feel they are missing out, and they don't want to miss out anymore, so they buy. The higher the price goes, the number of people lured in to buy increases, and thus the higher the price and volume go.
2. Wave five is the final leg in the direction of the dominant trend. The news is almost universally positive and everyone is bullish. Unfortunately, this is when many average investors finally buy in, right before the top. Volume is often lower in wave five than in wave three, and many momentum indicators start to show divergences (prices reach a new high but the indicators do not reach a new peak). At the end of a major bull market, bears may very well be ridiculed.
3. Evening Star; The Evening Star is a bearish, top trend reversal pattern that warns of a potential reversal of an uptrend. It is the opposite of the Morning Star and, like the morning star, consists of three candlesticks, with the middle candlestick being a star. The first candlestick in the evening star must be light in color and must have a relatively large real body. The second candlestick is the star, which is a candlestick with a short real body that does not touch the real body of the preceding candlestick. The gap between the real bodies of the two candlesticks is what makes a doji or a spinning top a star. The star can also form within the upper shadow of the first candlestick. The star is the first indication of weakness as it indicates that the buyers were unable to push the price up to close much higher than the close of the previous period. This weakness is confirmed by the candlestick that follows the star. This candlestick must be a dark candlestick that closes well into the body of the first candlestick.
The reliability of the evening star is enhanced if the third candlestick opens below the real body of the star leaving a gap between the real bodies of the star and the third candlestick. This, however, occurs very rarely. Reliability is also enhanced by the extent to which the real body of the third candlestick penetrates the real body of the first candlestick, and if the third candlestick has very little or no lower shadow. Finally, volume should also be considered as the pattern is more reliable if the volume on the first candlestick is lower and the volume on the third candlestick is higher.
Sound familiar? If it walks and talks like a duck it's probably a duck. Not shown is multiple similar bubble situations TLRY, SPCE, Bitcoin in 2017, etc. All bubbles burst. My advice is to get out immediately.
1. Blow off top definition; Blow-off top patterns are common in securities where there is a lot of speculative interest. Prices rise, usually on positive news or on the prospect of good future news, such as future growth or the release of a positive drug trial, for example. As the price rises, more and more people get excited. More people also start to feel they are missing out, and they don't want to miss out anymore, so they buy. The higher the price goes, the number of people lured in to buy increases, and thus the higher the price and volume go. Blow-off top patterns are common in securities where there is a lot of speculative interest. Prices rise, usually on positive news or on the prospect of good future news, such as future growth or the release of a positive drug trial, for example. As the price rises, more and more people get excited. More people also start to feel they are missing out, and they don't want to miss out anymore, so they buy. The higher the price goes, the number of people lured in to buy increases, and thus the higher the price and volume go.
2. Wave five is the final leg in the direction of the dominant trend. The news is almost universally positive and everyone is bullish. Unfortunately, this is when many average investors finally buy in, right before the top. Volume is often lower in wave five than in wave three, and many momentum indicators start to show divergences (prices reach a new high but the indicators do not reach a new peak). At the end of a major bull market, bears may very well be ridiculed.
3. Evening Star; The Evening Star is a bearish, top trend reversal pattern that warns of a potential reversal of an uptrend. It is the opposite of the Morning Star and, like the morning star, consists of three candlesticks, with the middle candlestick being a star. The first candlestick in the evening star must be light in color and must have a relatively large real body. The second candlestick is the star, which is a candlestick with a short real body that does not touch the real body of the preceding candlestick. The gap between the real bodies of the two candlesticks is what makes a doji or a spinning top a star. The star can also form within the upper shadow of the first candlestick. The star is the first indication of weakness as it indicates that the buyers were unable to push the price up to close much higher than the close of the previous period. This weakness is confirmed by the candlestick that follows the star. This candlestick must be a dark candlestick that closes well into the body of the first candlestick.
The reliability of the evening star is enhanced if the third candlestick opens below the real body of the star leaving a gap between the real bodies of the star and the third candlestick. This, however, occurs very rarely. Reliability is also enhanced by the extent to which the real body of the third candlestick penetrates the real body of the first candlestick, and if the third candlestick has very little or no lower shadow. Finally, volume should also be considered as the pattern is more reliable if the volume on the first candlestick is lower and the volume on the third candlestick is higher.
Sound familiar? If it walks and talks like a duck it's probably a duck. Not shown is multiple similar bubble situations TLRY, SPCE, Bitcoin in 2017, etc. All bubbles burst. My advice is to get out immediately.
