NaughtyPines

THE WEEK AHEAD: GLD, GDXJ, GDX, SLV, USO

AMEX:GLD   SPDR Gold Trust
EARNINGS

No options highly liquid underlyings announcing earnings this week.


BROAD MARKET

EEM (15/18)
QQQ (19/19)
IWM (19/18)
SPY (19/15)
EFA (10/12)

One word ... . Well, maybe two: "Weak sauce," with ranks in the low quarter of their 52-week ranges and background implied at sub-20 across the board.


SECTOR EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS

Top 5 By Rank: GLD (92/16), GDXJ (71/33), SLV (64/21), GDX (48/28), USO (47/43) TBT (52/24).

Pictured here is a GLD Synthetic Reverse Jade Lizard, explained in the post, below. For those of a more nondirectional bent, the Aug 16th 127/140 short strangle is paying 1.72 with a 70% probability of profit, although I'd recheck that setup at New York open for delta balance ... .

GDXJ: August 16th 34 short straddle, 3.45 credit with >expected move break evens, delta/theta -11.03/3.02.

GDX: August 16th 25 short straddle, 2.12 credit with >expected move break evens, but a little on the weak side in terms of credit collection. Delta/theta: -10.52/1.84.

SLV/USO: August has yet to populate ... .

In petro, my go-to is generally XOP (34/35), but the August expiry has yet to populate. Given the size of the underlying, I would probably continue to short straddle it here, assuming that it's still paying greater than 10% of the price of the underlying (i.e., >2.70 or so in credit for the short straddle nearest at-the-money).
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