legacyFXofficial

GERMAN40 BEARISH OUTLOOK

Short
PEPPERSTONE:GER40   German 40 Index
Germany, a European economic powerhouse, is facing the threat of a technical recession as its industrial production, particularly in the automotive sector, has experienced a significant decline. In September, industrial production fell by 1.4%, surpassing the projected 0.4% drop, and the third quarter saw a 2.1% decrease in total production. The automotive industry, a crucial part of Germany's economy, reported a 5% drop in vehicle production from the previous month, alongside declines in other vital sectors like electrical equipment and pharmaceuticals. While there was a slight increase in factory orders for September, primarily due to large-scale orders and backlogs, economists remain cautious about the potential for future economic growth.

This economic downturn is worrisome for Germany, as it may be heading toward a technical recession, characterized by two consecutive quarters of economic contraction. Policymakers and economists are likely to closely monitor the situation and may consider measures to support the economy, such as fiscal stimulus or incentives to boost consumer spending and business investment. However, the situation is not isolated and may be influenced by global economic trends and factors, making it essential to keep an eye on international economic developments to gauge Germany's economic prospects in the coming months.

On a technical note, the daily graph had produced an Evening Star pattern that is reliable pattern for a downtrend. RSI is still on the neutral site, but MACD is already showing sell signals.

If this trend continues the price might reach levels of 14 977.5. In the opposite scenario the price might reach levels of 15 315.21

Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.