OlympusLab

GBPUSD Claimant Count Change | 18th April 2023

Long
OANDA:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
Fundamental Backdrop
1. UK employment rate increased by 0.2% which indicates a growing workforce and potential for increased economic output.
2. Payrolled employees increased by 31,000 in March 2023, indicating that businesses are hiring and expanding their operations.
3. Unemployment only increased by 0.1 percentage points to 3.8% in December 2022 to February 2023, indicating a relatively stable job market.
4. Economic inactivity decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 21.1% in December 2022 to February 2023, which suggests that more people are entering the workforce and contributing to the economy.
5. Growth in average total pay and regular pay is strong, with the private sector seeing particularly high growth rates in December 2022 to February 2023, indicating that workers are being well-compensated and able to contribute to the economy.

Technical Confluences
1. Near-term resistance at 1.25000
2. Next resistance at 1.26350

Idea
With a strong bullish outlook for GBP, we are looking for price to head towards the near-term resistance at 1.25000. A break above 1.25400, could bring price towards the next resistance at 1.26350






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