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GBPUSD H4 Bullish Channel

Long
FX:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
GBP/USD H4 Bullish Channel: Opportunities for Both Long and Short

The GBP/USD pair on the H4 chart currently exhibits a bullish channel pattern, offering potential short-term buy and sell opportunities depending on price action. Here's a breakdown:

Buy Opportunity:

1. A potential buy entry could be considered near the current price as it hovers closer to the channel support. This allows for some buffer before a potential bounce upwards.

2. Targets for the bull case would be the upper resistance line or potentially even higher depending on momentum and confirmation from other technical indicators.

Shifting to Short:

1. A break below the lower support line of the channel would signal a breakdown of the bullish trend, opening up potential sell opportunities.

2. Entry points for shorting could be considered just below the broken support or on a retest of the broken line.

3. Targets for the bear case would be the previous swing lows within the channel or deeper depending on bearish momentum and confirmation from other technical indicators.

Central Bank Decisions:

Federal Reserve (Fed) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Jan 31): This is the biggest event. A hawkish Fed with a large rate hike (75bps+) and strong economic projections could significantly strengthen the USD against the GBP. Conversely, dovish hints or smaller increases could favor the GBP.

Bank of England (BoE) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Feb 2): While the BoE is expected to raise rates again, the focus will be on the size (25bps or 50bps) and future policy guidance. Dovish pronouncements could weaken the GBP, while hawkish inclinations might offer some support.

US Non-Farm Payrolls (Feb 2): A robust US jobs report might reinforce hawkish Fed expectations and weigh on GBP/USD. Conversely, weaker data could dampen USD strength and lend some support to the pound.

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Trade active:
The Bank of England's policy decision today will further influence the GBP's direction.
Comment:

Hawkish Bank of England (BoE): The BoE has hinted at further interest rate hikes to combat inflation, which could make the pound more attractive to investors seeking higher returns.

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