asferruzzi

GBPNZD reversal idea

Long
asferruzzi Updated   
FX:GBPNZD   British Pound / New Zealand Dollar
Fundaments of UK are looking good, with forecast inflation and interest rates both expected to rise over the next 12 months. These factors do influence a currency.

New Zealand fundamentals are forecast to remain fairly stagnate over the next 12 months. Obviously this could change.

Fundamentals will apply a upward pressure on this pair.

RSI has also formed a recent bullish divergence signal, and at an are of previous support, indicating that sellers are losing momentum in this pair.

Could this be a sign of institutions rebalancing their portfolios in anticipation of a pound appreciation.

I am bullish on this pair and would wait for a pullback to a fib level before entering long.

Exit when the upward trend seems to be losing momentum.

Potential risk to reward ratio is good.
Comment:
EDIT: I meant to say that UK inflation is forecast to fall, not rise. A fall in inflation is good for it's currency.
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