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GBP/JPY at Resistance: Awaiting CPI Data for Directional Clarity

Long
OANDA:GBPJPY   British Pound / Japanese Yen
Assessing the GBP/JPY pair's current trajectory, we’re observing a notable rally that’s pushing against the resistance level at 193.490. This recent bullish momentum is significant as it approaches this key technical threshold. The pair is gaining traction after a firm rebound from the ascending trendline, which has been a reliable support base in previous sessions.

In the context of trading dynamics, tomorrow's U.S. CPI release is the event to watch. It's likely to inject volatility into the markets and could serve as a catalyst for the next move. A higher CPI could strengthen the yen, and we may see the pair retract below the supportive trendline, which would signal a potential short setup. Such a move would put the focus on subsequent support targets, as the trendline has been a pivotal point for bullish traders.

Conversely, if the CPI data comes in subdued, failing to bolster the USD, the ripple effect might weaken the yen, providing GBP/JPY the impetus to break above the resistance. Should we see a sustained move past 193.490, the path could clear for an advance towards the 194.00 level, aligning with a bullish outlook.

From a trading stance, we’re positioned for adaptability, awaiting the CPI's release to determine the market's direction. A tactical approach is warranted—ready to initiate long positions on a convincing breakout or to enter shorts if we witness a bearish reversal confirmed by a trendline breach. As it stands, we are looking for buys, but as the pair is in a rally it is not easy to get an entry.

In sum, with key economic data imminent, a measured and responsive strategy will be crucial. The CPI's outcome will likely set the tone for the GBP/JPY's next directional move.
Comment:
Waiting for a pullback to previous resistance for long entry

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