FETCH - Future of Blockchain Innovations or just next Sh#tcoin?

As you can explore on official website Fetch.AI is a decentralized digital blockchain in which useful economic activity takes place. This activity is performed by autonomous agents delivering solutions to tasks like deployment of algorithms, IoT and complex systems. The most interesting part of the project is that activity of agents based on machine learning and AI.

Pretty ambitious application at first glance. But plunging into further study of the project, I was surprised how thoughtfully and logically Fetch.AI team is building their project.

Fetch.AI team is basing in Cambridge, UK. And the main architect and CEO of the startup is Humayun Sheikh. He is original pioneer from DeepMind – artificial intelligence company acquired by Google for around $500 million.

It doesn’t even make sense to tell you how Google’s neural network works, you already know this very well when you are using search or getting ads. The most important thing is that Fetch.AI project essentially implements a neurocomputer on the blockchain. And the team behind the project seems to be clearly knowing how to make it work.

But what is the Fetch.AI token? First you need to know that FETUSDT is a utility token, not a security. And the main purpose of it is to be used by autonomous agents to deploy specific economic activity in the network such as: connecting agents to the network, exchanging value between agents, accessing ledger-based AI/ML algorithms etc.

Quite difficult to understand? In the practical application this means Fetch.AI network will be used in decentralized commodity exchanges, transport and mobility, energy, IoT, smart cities, E-commerce, healthcare, social networks.

Wow, but that affects almost every aspect of our lives! That is the reason I decided to post this idea. I am considering Fetch project as one of the most promising and what is important undervalued on crypto market. Of course, a lot of work still needs to be done.

Presently FETUSDT is an ERC20 token and a full mainnet is scheduled for the end of Q4 2019. But some practical implementations are made already:

September 30 2019 – Beta mainnet launched.
October 10 2019 – First staking auction took place.
October 18 2019 – Fetch.AI DeFi commodity platform records historic first trade. The trade was conducted between Turkish steel giant Bastug Metallurgy and one of its suppliers.
October 21 2019 – Fetch.AI machine learning scientist Yujian Ye has produced two papers. Both supported by the EU Sysflex project under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program. Both highlight how Fetch.ai’s autonomous agents will be at the center of the energy models of the future.
October 22 2019 – Fetch.AI and Grey Swan Digital have entered into an agreement to integrate their platforms in order to offer Smart Market Making and Smart Margin Lending.

Do not get me wrong, I do not want to exaggerate Fetch.AI project. But you must admit, deploying real use case at such early stage of development is very rare and promising in the crypto market. Pretty good for a project that does not have even its own mainnet yet, what do you say?

Now let’s go to the technicals. Here when the ugly comes.

After one of the most successful IEOs (initial exchange offering) on Binance with a starting price $0.0867 for 1 FETUSDT token about $6M were raised. FETUSDT price reached almost $0.49 and after… DUMPED SO HARD that the only definition for it as a sh#tcoin came to mind… In the moment price made huge x5 gains for IEO successors who speculatively sold on the top and continued selling during almost all year 2019:

Huge selloff led to a collapse of FET price by 93%

The bears were joined by early investors who bought FETUSDT on presales before the IEO which tokens were being unlocked during all that period. As a result, the price went down to the level of the very first presale of $0.0341:

FET price returned to its ultimate low Seed Sale level where found support

Now you probably already regret taking time to read this long-drawn-out idea, but do not rush, because we have good possibilities of obtaining high returns on this asset.

The first signal that we can notice is a huge volume spike on FETBTC chart:

The increase in volume coincided with Fetch.AI’s first staking auction

We see slightly less volume on FETUSDT chart, so we can only guess that the reason may also be the overflow of Bitcoins into Altcoins on the eve of the new altseason. Or, large speculators choose an undervalued assets as a long term investments. But what we are confident with accuracy is that validators and large stakeholders who bought and continue buying FETUSDT token do not intend to push the price further down. This is due to the high level of investments that they need to hold as a stake, as well as the high cost of equipment used for nodes maintenance.

Secondly, we can notice RSI divergence on both FETUSDT and FETBTC daily charts:

RSI Divergence on daily charts indicates possible bottom

For these reasons, we can consider current levels as a long-term bottom.

With that being said, my overall thoughts on Fetch.AI are inclined to the fact that this asset is very promising not only from a fundamental point of view, but also from a technical.

As for the price drop you must understand that revalued IEO, unlocked tokens of early investors, drop in Altcoin capitalization against of the Bitcoin capitalization growth – all these circumstances resulted in such a strong panic sale. And at the moment FETUSDT token is one of the most undervalued in the market. Buying FETUSDT now for long term might result in great investment opportunity. When saying long term, I mean 3 to 5 years.

This idea is not advertising and author did not receive any rewards or tokens for it :)

What will happen next the price will tell.

This idea is not a financial advise, but you probably know that already ;)

Comment:

FET started moving:

Volume is increasing exponentially at the bottom - sign of new uptrend

Comment:

With a Double Bottom pattern and enormous volume trend is making reversal.
The first serious resistance on the way will be the IEO level - $0.0867. There is also a 200-daily moving average at this level. So expecting some selloff.

FET performed a W-bottom structure and heads to the IEO price levels.

Comment:

At a time when Mainnet released on the 19th of December 2019 we see another volume spike on FET chart:

This volume can be considered as big purchases, since there is no logic to sell nearby the level of strong support while the project is developing positively.