Genesiv

DAX INDEX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop

Short
EUREX:FDAX1!   DAX Futures
Type : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 13348
Pivot: 13004
Support : 12415

Preferred Case: On the H4, with price breaking out of an ascending channel and moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to the pivot at 13004 where the pullback support, 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection are. Once there is downside confirmation that price has broken pivot structure, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to 1st support at 12415 where the swing low support and 161.8% fibonacci extension are.

Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could rise to 1st resistance at 13348 where the overlap resistance is.

Fundamentals: Since Russia's Gazprom said that a new turbine halt will further cut gas to Germany, it creates additional supply worries and we have a bearish view on the DAX index.

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