khansalarehsan
Short

A great opportunity for Shorting EURUSD

FX_IDC:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
Finally it is the time to trade EURUSD . I have been waiting for this trade for weeks.


Here are a few reasons that convinced me to trade EURUSD:



1) Technically the price has broken the long terms rising channel and has been trapped inside two wedges . Just recently it broke the larger wedge and just yesterday it retested the wedge again and it acted as a resistance. Technically we have what we have been waiting for particularly as the Stop loss is not huge.


2) This is EURO Futures ( E61! ) and confirms the break of the wedge and see the next major support is.




3) Also see the Euro Index ( EUSTX50 ). It normally moves on opposite direction of Euro futures . See the false breakout of the wedge at the bottom of the channel followed by a break on the other side of the wedge . See where it is heading. Yes, UP. It is what we need for our EURUSD Short trade because it suggest Euro to go lower.




4) See weekly weighted average EURO . It make Lower Low on RSI although it makes Higher High on the price trend.



5) That was it about EURO . NOW let’s look at US DOLLAR . What a beautiful breakout of the weighted average USD which happened after a false breakout of the lows. Target is the highs of the wedge or Fibo overlaps. Stronger USD is what we need for EURUSD Short trade.



6) See the nice breakout of the Treasury Notes. It moves in the same direction of the USD.




7) DXY is self-explanatory




8) Bond futures also move against Treasury Notes. It is breaking several layers of supports and heading lower. Again signals stronger USD.


9) Last one is Gold . Cheaper Gold means USD is appreciating.


If you enjoyed this analysis do not forget to like it. Thank you

Comment: 10 Yrs Treasury notes hit 3.04%, the highs of 2013. Good for Dollar. Also see the breakout of the Neckline of the Inverted H&S. Good for Dollar and of course good for our trade :)
Comment: Almost there :)
Comment: End of the journey. Thanks for following me. Do not forget to see the GU post
Trade closed: target reached

Comments

@khansalarehsan Are you still holding short, I mean for your target of 1.2084? I just think, this is a bear trap and week will close above 1.2200 and on Monday, monthly candle will close above 1.2300.

Reply
Great job Ehsan.Keep the good work! :)
Reply
@mpanav, Cheers mate. TY
Reply
pips! You are brilliant!
Reply
@Sydneysky, Thank you :)
Reply
When to enter looks like it’s going up?
Reply
@axelroses, Hmmm. I have a big SL as you can see. At the end of the day it is a trade. should place an order and forget it :)
Reply
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