alexkyp
Short

EURUSD potential SELL

FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
Withe the US dollar index keeping a neutral/ bullish trend and the uncertainty within the EU with Brexit and the issues on the Italy-Germany bond pushing the EU to a possible short term recession the pair has drop significantly last week.
Both 200 & 800 EMA’s support a further bearish trend that could reach the 1.12 level.
If the pair breaks below the 1.13 area the door for 1.12 are clear.


Fundamentals:
"In our view risk aversion is set to rise this year and in this environment the USD is likely to perform well against a broad basket of ‘risky’ currencies including many from the EM universe in addition to the AUD and the NZD. We see risk that  EUR/USD  could retreat towards 1.12 on a 3 to 6 mth view mostly on the back of EUR weakness."
Disappointing data from Germany and the euro area and the ECB's cautious outlook in its monthly Economic Bulletin this week reminded investors of the economic slowdown in the euro area. Reflecting the markets' negative attitude toward the eurozone, the 10-year Italy - 10-year Germany bond spread rose to its highest level since early December and weighed on the shared currency.
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