Short to 1.15

FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
Markets tend to trade in patterns independent of news flow. A pattern playing out in EUR/USD may signal there is a broader bearish move in the works toward 1.1300 on a breakdown from the multi-month consolidation pattern that could be nearing its end. While Trump’s comments have taken the FX world by storm as it is unusual for a sitting US president to critique the Fed, but Trump’s criticism will not sway the Fed and introduce a full dollar reversal.

Possible Fundamental Trigger: ECB Rate Announcement on Thursday, July 26, 2018.

Point to Establish Short Exposure: At Market

Spot: $1.1727 per EUR

Target 1: $1.1450 per EUR (61.8% Triangle Thrust Target)

Target 2: $1.1300 per EUR (100% Triangle Thrust Target)

Invalidation Level: Close >$1.1800 (July opening range high)


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