MrRenev

A new paradigm: choose your country

MrRenev Updated   
FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
See these economic freedom rankings? Richest countries are the free-est ones with Oil adding noise to the correlation a bit.

2021 update: The USA, which were rank 4 of economic freedom 25 years ago sank to position 21, and by the looks of it, it is not about to get any better :)
Daesh and ISIS continue to piss themselves with joy and each time the USA basically get a new leg down they say it is god wrath, at that point they might even be right.
The United States collapse will be biblical!
Even christians have this saying:
"Woe to those who decree unrighteous decrees, Who write misfortune, Which they have prescribed To rob the needy of justice, And to take what is right from the poor of My people, That widows may be their prey, And that they may rob the fatherless. Isaiah 10:1-2"
As I said, biblical.

There are more factors than economic freedom (which are almost all bad with the USA they just have a monopoly on big tech with China and Russia not managing to compete outside of their borders AND they USA also has the reserve currency pyramid scheme of course which once again only Russia and China are fighting - Ghaddafi tried and bad things happened).

Libertarianism originated in the left, and bounces between the 2 sides, right now in the USA they are associated to the right, and in some other countries the left.
This childish left/right thing, where does it even come from?
230 years ago in france républicains sat on the left wing of the assembly, loyalists sat on the right, and montagnards up high but no one cares about them.
The left was supposed to be populist, now it's the right. The right was pro monarch and then big business now they are populist, but with low taxes.
We don't really know who's who.


Freedom to riot is also bad for business. Riots in the USA and the right to loot were ignored because irrational exhuberance (although some companies such as Target said they were leaving California so it will have an impact at some point and dumbvestors will be left holding the bag of a ponzi scheme).
In South Africa riots are so not ignored. MS already is bearish and predicts economic contraction (3.5% they said, a few days ago).
Plenty of large to small businesses are either leaving or got destroyed (and don't plan or rebuilding).

Economic freedom is basically a filter, like MACD, except it's not idiotic like MACD. Under a certain economic freedom investing is a no-no.
Low economic freedom have high risk, low reward, low winrate. Just bad. You don't even get something for the risk you take.

I think about half Americans want to secede or something. RT (obviously) has relayed that 66% of southern republicans want out.
And on the west coast 47% of democrats want to get out. Depending on who wins federal elections southern democrats would want out.
A very interesting number is in the south 50% of independants want to get out of the Union.
Give it a bit more time, a bit more downtrend, and these numbers will go up.
I'm not sure how it works I think they don't even have the right to a referendum (Scotland does).
Texas might have that right, and I'll guess they'd be super high in freedom.
Other southern states might be lower in freedom, all conservative and everything.

Also since the USA are sucking in millions and millions of migrants from central and south america to stay in power (democracy makes sense) the central/south american countries will only have the die hard nationalists left. At least the USA are no longer sucking in all the qualified people so other american countries actually get a shot at growth, when all their engineers were being stolen they end up being a very high Gini country with very few "elites" and a huge population of well useless eaters or near-useless eaters to put it bluntly.


There's always going to be divides. At least with this people get to choose.
Of course the parasites will always want to leech off of the rich productive countries so it will be necessary to pick a free country but with intelligent border control.
The United States had this a while ago and it worked out for them.
Parasitic country leeching all the qualified people of the world and throwing a bit of foreign aid like it makes up for it.
On the flip side damn France was literally paying KGB Soviet Spies to come study in the 80s. That's just...

With right wingers going to certain places and leftists other ones countries will be each on their side, but that does not mean a single party, they'll be left and right but within the country ideals/traditions. Democracy still, with everyone agreeing on the basics. Right now I am not sure the United States can have a republican government ever again, too many migrants that vote democrat got in. Within democrats there are the "original" ones (Joe Manchin, Biden...) and the socialists (Bernie and the squad), they agree on the basics more or less. Republicans are home to republicans and libertarians, and they agree on the basics.
The current United States are more divided than they've ever been as far as I can tell.


So as I said, countries will stick to their fundamentals and attract (or select) migrants with similar beliefs but it can continue to be democracies, actually democracy can enforce a system as I explained. And you get to look like the good guy. North East USA vote for socialists or democrats, Texas votes for libertarians or republicans, Southern states vote for republicans or I don't know the christian shariah law I guess? (strict clothing rules, abortion totally outlawed, etc).
The west coast will choose between ultra-progressives and radical marxists (they might be financial/corporate/economic consequences).
What's left is the middle of the USA. I don't know. They just break into bits each joining one of the new countries. Like Crimea was gifted to Ukraine right?

The progressive states will allow abortion up to 1 month after birth and the conservative ones will outlaw the morning-after pill.
In other words there is a risk that some states become too extreme, with little opposition.
It's a good thing that divided people aren't forced to live together (2 wolves and 1 sheep voting on who to eat), but it's not "happy ever after".

Also maybe there will be racial laws but I won't get into that.
Maybe the world goes back to a more tribal system.

There is a new period with a new world order every 75 years, and a new era every 2-3 centuries I believe. It is time. I am euphoric about it.
We can do this the easy way, or the hard way. A handful of greedy politicians want to do this the hard way of course they do.
France parlementaries are getting death threats, and résistants have started destroying buildings. Idk maybe this scares the politicians?
South Africa transition will be violent. United States are a little violent but it's nothing crazy. I can't predict how it will evolve.
It can all happen in parliaments, very civil (if officials don't always flee states to dodge voting, the "filibuster" stuff), there can be referendums and that's it, no need to kill each other. Some might do everything to avoid certain things happening and force violent events, unless the population is smart enough to avoid divide to conquer who am I kidding of course they are not smart enough.

Well we will see. It's like chess there are x possibilities next turn, then x² - all the checkmates all the dead pieces, then (x² - all the checkmates all the dead pieces)*(x - checkmates etc). Chess grandmasters do not know what the other guy will play, but they know what he might play AND all the next 5 to 10 turns possibilities. And some times every single possibility leads to checkmate but there is no way of knowing what the other guy will play until then (unless you know the guy or it is a time where everyone plays the same troll moves when they know they have lost). I know what the trend is and the possibilities.
I know Oregon won't go full religious conservative for example. For that to happen first many other things have to happen in which case it will unlock the possibility and I'll be aware of it.
I do not already know exactly what will happen everywhere, depends on the variables. I know who'll probably be progressive, economically free, etc.

I already know who'll I'll bet on and who I'll short sell.


Comment:
I just want to add that all these "elected representants" only represent themselves.

Manuel Valls was minister in France, his popularity went down and so he entered into the spanish government, there is a Catalan viral song about him "Moi Manuel Valls".

Édouard Philippe that was France PM until a few months ago gave his resignation to dodge the covid heat and now he is part of Atos administration (Atos is a large tech company in the CAC 40 and in the world top 10 IT service companies).

Emmanuel Macron the president is well known for being an investment banker for the Rothschild bank (the department in charge of negotiating with government...) , he says what motivated him to become a Rothschild banker was the Socialist Party didn't nominate him or something kek.

Nicolas Sarkozy a previous president got hired by big companies here and there and is now in jail where he belongs.

It's all the same people, they all went to the same "grandes écoles" and know each other.

Macron being an investment banker he should be friendly to traders right? Hell no, he introduced a cancerous flat tax of 30%. This means to stay barely alive I need to earn 1500 euros instead of just 1000. It advantages the Rothschilds for sure but guys starting from nothing get screwed. 1/3 of what I make rather than being re-invested goes towards refugees and obese boomers. Oh and I have no rights because obese boomers are afraid to get sick and can't be bothered to lose weight.

Did I mention 2/3 of parliament was made up of obese boomers?
And the only people that oppose the cancer pass are all fit? Must be a coincidence!

It is going to explode. BFMTV (french CNN) just got chased a few hours ago at Rouen if I am correct. Angry citizens chased them down <3

Healthcare workers are about 2 per 100 patients, this is a long long trend (more than 20 years) the government is well aware of it but most "normies" are not, I've known about it forever because my dad is a doctor and his wife a nurse but otherwise I don't really ever hear about it in the lying media (until recently).

The state will not be able to keep obese boomers alive.
And they know it.
I predicted it long ago.
They are using covid as an excuse.
They WANT healthcare workers to quit.
So they can put the blame on them.

It's like the work week. In a downtrend for 2 centuries.
Actually the trend consolidated when "good guys" that promised to reduce the number of hours were in charge.
And they took credit for the reduction.
It literally takes 10 seconds to check it, but people are too lazy to look for the truth.

ses.ens-lyon.fr/imag...france-1950-2015.png

It's all going to sink into chaos and unrest.

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